Süper Lig · Regular Season - 9
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Rizespor host Trabzonspor on Mon 26 Oct 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rizespor 25%, draw 27%, Trabzonspor 48%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rizespor €2.0M, Trabzonspor €6.0M.
- Style contrast in discipline (Süper Lig): Rizespor rank #16 of 18, Trabzonspor #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rizespor goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Rizespor 1877 · Trabzonspor 2131
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rizespor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1908
Trabzonspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2302
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rizespor
12th in Süper Lig · 10 pts from 8
- 16 OctLÇorum FK Turkey Super Lig1876
- 10 OctLFenerbahçe Turkey Super Lig1921
- 20 SepDGöztepe Turkey Super Lig1920
- 12 SepWEyüpspor Turkey Super Lig1895
- 7 SepLAlanyaspor Turkey Super Lig1911
Trabzonspor
5th in Süper Lig · 13 pts from 7
- 15 OctWKuPS UEFA Conference League2057
- 10 OctWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig2139
- 19 SepWGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig2060
- 12 SepLKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig2136
- 6 SepWGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig2153
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor | 10 /8 | 42.3 | 0% | 1% | 9% | 10th |
| Trabzonspor | 13 /7 | 62.9 | 5% | 83% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rizespor: balanced profile (how Recep Uçar plays) · Trabzonspor: possession-based (how Thomas Reis plays)