Süper Lig · Regular Season - 13
Rizespor vs Kasımpaşa
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Rizespor host Kasımpaşa on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rizespor 42%, draw 29%, Kasımpaşa 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rizespor €1.6M, Kasımpaşa €1.3M.
- Home advantage makes Rizespor the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rizespor goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–27%
- 0–07%
- 2–07%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: Rizespor 1869 · Kasımpaşa 1883
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rizespor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1925
Kasımpaşa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1972
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rizespor
11th in Süper Lig · 14 pts from 11
- 8 NovWErzurumspor FK Turkey Super Lig1826
- 31 OctDKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig1786
- 26 OctLTrabzonspor Turkey Super Lig1830
- 16 OctLÇorum FK Turkey Super Lig1870
- 10 OctLFenerbahçe Turkey Super Lig1914
Kasımpaşa
5th in Süper Lig · 20 pts from 11
- 6 NovWGaziantep FK Turkey Super Lig1880
- 1 NovDBeşiktaş Turkey Super Lig1879
- 24 OctWEyüpspor Turkey Super Lig1852
- 18 OctWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig1828
- 9 OctLGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig1839
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor | 14 /11 | 41.6 | 0% | <1% | 5% | 11th |
| Kasımpaşa | 20 /11 | 49.5 | 0% | 3% | <1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rizespor: balanced profile (how Recep Uçar plays) · Kasımpaşa: balanced profile (how Emre Belözoğlu plays)