Süper Lig · Regular Season - 7
Rizespor 0–3 Fenerbahçe
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize
RizesporTeam 1869FenerbahçeTeam 2298- M. Asensio 12'
- I. Kahveci 83'
- O. Aydin 87'
We gave Fenerbahçe 63% to win: they did.
- 12'M. Asensio 2323 +3* assist K. Akturkoglu 2334 +7Fenerbahçe:M. Asensio 2323 +3* assist K. Akturkoglu 2334 +7
- 59'I. Kahveci 2004 +12 for M. Asensio 2323 +3*Fenerbahçe:I. Kahveci 2004 +12 for M. Asensio 2323 +3*
- I. Doicaru 1436 −8* for A. Kutucu 1969 −17*66'Rizespor:I. Doicaru 1436 −8* for A. Kutucu 1969 −17*
- E. Bulut 1568 −8* for A. Mebude 1685 −8*72'Rizespor:E. Bulut 1568 −8* for A. Mebude 1685 −8*
- C. Bozdogan 1793 −8* for Q. Laci 1930 −13*72'Rizespor:C. Bozdogan 1793 −8* for Q. Laci 1930 −13*
- 80'R. Lukaku 2138 −3 for V. Muriqi 2146 +26Fenerbahçe:R. Lukaku 2138 −3 for V. Muriqi 2146 +26
- 80'O. Aydin 2235 +3 for M. Greenwood 2324 +11*Fenerbahçe:O. Aydin 2235 +3 for M. Greenwood 2324 +11*
- G. Borrelli 1919 −8* for T. Antalyali 1918 −18*82'Rizespor:G. Borrelli 1919 −8* for T. Antalyali 1918 −18*
- 83'I. Kahveci 2004 +12 assist O. Aydin 2235 +3Fenerbahçe:I. Kahveci 2004 +12 assist O. Aydin 2235 +3
- 87'O. Aydin 2235 +3 assist R. Lukaku 2138 −3Fenerbahçe:O. Aydin 2235 +3 assist R. Lukaku 2138 −3
- 88'I. Yuksek 2263 −1 for M. Guendouzi 2342 +11*Fenerbahçe:I. Yuksek 2263 −1 for M. Guendouzi 2342 +11*
- 88'K. Peprah 1925 −7* for K. Akturkoglu 2334 +7Fenerbahçe:K. Peprah 1925 −7* for K. Akturkoglu 2334 +7
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 15% · 22% · 63%(Rizespor · draw · Fenerbahçe)
Our most likely score was 0–2 (11%); the result 0–3 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Rizespor €2.2M, Fenerbahçe €11.0M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Süper Lig matchday 7: 356 points.
- Süper Lig: Ederson was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2427).
- Style contrast in attacking (Süper Lig): Rizespor ranked #15 of 18, Fenerbahçe #2.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rizespor
8th in Süper Lig · 10 pts from 6
- 20 SepDGöztepe Turkey Super Lig1920
- 12 SepWEyüpspor Turkey Super Lig1895
- 7 SepLAlanyaspor Turkey Super Lig1911
- 29 AugWGaziantep FK Turkey Super Lig1890
- 22 AugLSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig1919
Fenerbahçe
6th in Süper Lig · 10 pts from 6
- 20 SepWEyüpspor Turkey Super Lig2257
- 14 SepDGaziantep FK Turkey Super Lig2301
- 10 SepDAS Roma UEFA Champions League2259
- 5 SepLBeşiktaş Turkey Super Lig2269
- 30 AugWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig2249
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor | 10 /6 | 45.8 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 7th |
| Fenerbahçe | 10 /6 | 69.2 | 33% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rizespor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1943
Fenerbahçe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.6 (Good) · Elo 2321
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rizespor: balanced profile (how Recep Uçar plays) · Fenerbahçe: shot-heavy · creative (how İsmail Kartal plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.