Süper Lig · Regular Season - 11
Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 10:30 UTC
Rizespor host Erzurumspor FK on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rizespor 48%, draw 27%, Erzurumspor FK 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rizespor €1.9M, Erzurumspor FK €712K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Süper Lig): Rizespor rank #1 of 18, Erzurumspor FK #17.
- All 11 of Erzurumspor FK's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rizespor goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Rizespor 1873 · Erzurumspor FK 1812
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rizespor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1908
Erzurumspor FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1766
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rizespor
12th in Süper Lig · 10 pts from 8
- 16 OctLÇorum FK Turkey Super Lig1876
- 10 OctLFenerbahçe Turkey Super Lig1921
- 20 SepDGöztepe Turkey Super Lig1920
- 12 SepWEyüpspor Turkey Super Lig1895
- 7 SepLAlanyaspor Turkey Super Lig1911
Erzurumspor FK
11th in Süper Lig · 11 pts from 8
- 17 OctWEyüpspor Turkey Super Lig1798
- 10 OctDAlanyaspor Turkey Super Lig1808
- 20 SepWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig1789
- 11 SepLBeşiktaş Turkey Super Lig1795
- 5 SepWKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig1780
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor | 10 /8 | 41.6 | 0% | <1% | 10% | 11th |
| Erzurumspor FK | 11 /8 | 39.6 | 0% | <1% | 17% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rizespor: balanced profile (how Recep Uçar plays) · Erzurumspor FK: balanced profile (how Serkan Özbalta plays)