Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14
River Plate vs Racing Club
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 22:15 UTC · Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires
River Plate host Racing Club on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: River Plate 67%, draw 20%, Racing Club 13%.
- Average value of the expected XI: River Plate €4.8M, Racing Club €1.1M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Liga Profesional Clausura - 14: 290 points.
- Draw chance 20%, below the Liga Profesional average of 27% this round.
- Liga Profesional: S. Beltrán is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2077).
- River Plate's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. River Plate goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: River Plate 2055 · Racing Club 1765
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
River Plate · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 2083
Racing Club · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1821
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
River Plate
2nd in Liga Profesional · 29 pts from 16
- 18 OctWBelgrano Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional2067
- 14 OctDSarmiento Junin Argentina Liga Profesional2048
- 11 OctWEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional1985
- 19 SepLHuracan Argentina Liga Profesional2045
- 12 SepWAtletico Tucuman Argentina Liga Profesional2038
Racing Club
8th in Liga Profesional · 21 pts from 16
- 18 OctDIndependiente Argentina Liga Profesional1766
- 11 OctLBelgrano Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1759
- 5 OctWEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional1750
- 19 SepWSarmiento Junin Argentina Liga Profesional1738
- 14 SepLHuracan Argentina Liga Profesional1778
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| River Plate | 29 /16 | 34.9 | 9% | 65% | 0% | 2nd |
| Racing Club | 21 /16 | 25.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct · high-pressing
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
River Plate: possession-based · creative (how Leonardo Ponzio plays) · Racing Club: balanced profile (how Sebastián Ariel Romero plays)