Liga Profesional Argentina · Round of 16
River Plate vs Lanus
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires
River Plate host Lanus on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: River Plate 67%, draw 20%, Lanus 13%.
- Average value of the expected XI: River Plate €5.1M, Lanus €1.2M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Liga Profesional Round of 16: 292 points.
- Liga Profesional: S. Beltrán is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2074).
- Lanus are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. River Plate goals first.
- 1–019%
- 2–016%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 1–19%
- 3–09%
- Other scores29%
Team Elo: River Plate 2059 · Lanus 1767
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
River Plate · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1981
Lanus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.1 (Good) · Elo 1853
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
River Plate
2nd in Liga Profesional · 29 pts from 16
- 5 NovWAldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional2038
- 1 NovLBoca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional2035
- 25 OctWRacing Club Argentina Liga Profesional2078
- 18 OctWBelgrano Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional2057
- 14 OctDSarmiento Junin Argentina Liga Profesional2040
Lanus
6th in Liga Profesional · 24 pts from 16
- 8 NovDCentral Cordoba de Santiago Argentina Liga Profesional1759
- 1 NovDGimnasia M. Argentina Liga Profesional1776
- 24 OctDBanfield Argentina Liga Profesional1801
- 17 OctWPlatense Argentina Liga Profesional1784
- 12 OctWVelez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional1764
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| River Plate | 55 /32 | 57.2 | 0% | 15% | 0% | 5th |
| Lanus | 50 /32 | 50.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
River Plate: possession-based · creative (how Leonardo Ponzio plays) · Lanus: balanced profile (how M. Pellegrino plays)