Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 11
Rio Ave vs SC Braga
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 20:30 UTC
Rio Ave host SC Braga on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Primeira Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rio Ave 22%, draw 26%, SC Braga 51%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rio Ave €974K, SC Braga €5.1M.
- Style contrast in attacking (Primeira Liga): Rio Ave rank #17 of 18, SC Braga #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rio Ave goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Rio Ave 1724 · SC Braga 2000
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rio Ave · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.8 (Average) · Elo 1762
SC Braga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1726
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rio Ave
15th in Primeira Liga · 7 pts from 8
- 11 OctWNacional Primeira Liga1666
- 19 SepLAlverca Primeira Liga1664
- 14 SepDEstrela Primeira Liga1681
- 6 SepLSanta Clara Primeira Liga1712
- 28 AugLSporting CP Primeira Liga1730
SC Braga
9th in Primeira Liga · 11 pts from 8
- 22 OctWGent UEFA Conference League1964
- 19 OctLGIL Vicente Primeira Liga1957
- 15 OctLFC Copenhagen UEFA Conference League1977
- 9 OctLSporting CP Primeira Liga1964
- 20 SepDSanta Clara Primeira Liga1982
Season outlook
From the Primeira Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave | 7 /8 | 37.5 | 0% | <1% | 20% | 13th |
| SC Braga | 11 /8 | 56.7 | 0% | 66% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rio Ave: balanced profile (how Vasco Seabra plays) · SC Braga: possession-based (how Carlos Vicens plays)