Virsliga · Regular Season - 33
Rīgas FS 2–0 Tukums
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Stadions Arkadija, Riga
Rīgas FSTeam 1596TukumsTeam 1186- martins kigurs 76', 88'
We gave Rīgas FS 76% to win: they did.
- Darko Lemajić 1558 for Alfa balde 150746'Rīgas FS:Darko Lemajić 1558 for Alfa balde 1507
- martins kigurs 1502 for Rostand Ndjiki 140461'Rīgas FS:martins kigurs 1502 for Rostand Ndjiki 1404
- Darko Lemajić 155865'Rīgas FS:Darko Lemajić 1558
- 70'rudolfs melkis 1179 for Daniels radzenieks 921Tukums:rudolfs melkis 1179 for Daniels radzenieks 921
- martins kigurs 1502 assist lasha odisharia 173076'Rīgas FS:martins kigurs 1502 assist lasha odisharia 1730
- 80'Shun Shibata 1256 for Koyo Shigema 1119Tukums:Shun Shibata 1256 for Koyo Shigema 1119
- martins kigurs 1502 assist modou saidy 160488'Rīgas FS:martins kigurs 1502 assist modou saidy 1604
- Cedric kouadio 1661 for lasha odisharia 173090+2'Rīgas FS:Cedric kouadio 1661 for lasha odisharia 1730
- niks dusaliejvs 1432 for Roberts Savalnieks 160890+2'Rīgas FS:niks dusaliejvs 1432 for Roberts Savalnieks 1608
- Harona Njie 1664 for modou saidy 160490+3'Rīgas FS:Harona Njie 1664 for modou saidy 1604
Line-ups
Before kick-off: 76% · 15% · 9%(Rīgas FS · draw · Tukums)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (9%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Rīgas FS €405K, Tukums €130K.
- Only 2 of Tukums' expected starters were past their position's peak age.
- Rīgas FS were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rīgas FS
1st in Virsliga · 80 pts from 32
- 15 OctWSuper Nova Latvia Virsliga1641
- 11 OctWFS Jelgava Latvia Virsliga1643
- 20 SepDAuda Latvia Virsliga1605
- 13 SepWBFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga1554
- 7 SepDFK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga1626
Tukums
9th in Virsliga · 24 pts from 32
- 20 SepDGrobiņa Latvia Virsliga1250
- 10 SepLSuper Nova Latvia Virsliga1257
- 29 AugLFS Jelgava Latvia Virsliga1237
- 30 MayLFK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga1271
- 25 MayLRīgas FS Latvia Virsliga1309
Season outlook
From the Virsliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rīgas FS | 80 /32 | 87.8 | 74% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Tukums | 24 /32 | 27.3 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rīgas FS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1507
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –