Virsliga · Regular Season - 35
Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC · LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
Rīgas FS host Grobiņa on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Virsliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rīgas FS 72%, draw 17%, Grobiņa 10%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rīgas FS €446K, Grobiņa €150K.
- Draw chance 17%, below the Virsliga average of 23% this round.
- Rīgas FS are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rīgas FS goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–19%
- 3–09%
- 1–18%
- 3–18%
- 1–08%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Rīgas FS 1630 · Grobiņa 1254
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rīgas FS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1507
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rīgas FS
1st in Virsliga · 80 pts from 32
- 15 OctWSuper Nova Latvia Virsliga1641
- 11 OctWFS Jelgava Latvia Virsliga1643
- 20 SepDAuda Latvia Virsliga1605
- 13 SepWBFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga1554
- 7 SepDFK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga1626
Grobiņa
8th in Virsliga · 29 pts from 33
- 17 OctWOgre United Latvia Virsliga1213
- 20 SepDTukums Latvia Virsliga1200
- 6 SepLAuda Latvia Virsliga1232
- 29 AugWBFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga1225
- 29 MayLRiga Latvia Virsliga1184
Season outlook
From the Virsliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rīgas FS | 80 /32 | 87.8 | 74% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Grobiņa | 29 /33 | 31.3 | 0% | 0% | 97% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –