Virsliga · Regular Season - 36
Riga vs Rīgas FS
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Skonto stadions, Riga
Riga host Rīgas FS on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Virsliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Riga 44%, draw 28%, Rīgas FS 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Riga €528K, Rīgas FS €403K.
- Virsliga: Reginaldo Ramires is the highest-rated forward (1788).
- Riga are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- Rīgas FS are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Riga goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Riga 1664 · Rīgas FS 1633
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Riga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1755
Rīgas FS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1510
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Riga
2nd in Virsliga · 79 pts from 33
- 22 OctDPafos UEFA Conference League1645
- 18 OctWSuper Nova Latvia Virsliga1571
- 15 OctDKairat Almaty UEFA Conference League1637
- 15 SepWSuper Nova Latvia Virsliga1620
- 7 SepDBFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga1694
Rīgas FS
1st in Virsliga · 83 pts from 33
- 19 OctWTukums Latvia Virsliga1628
- 15 OctWSuper Nova Latvia Virsliga1641
- 11 OctWFS Jelgava Latvia Virsliga1643
- 20 SepDAuda Latvia Virsliga1605
- 13 SepWBFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga1554
Season outlook
From the Virsliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga | 79 /33 | 85.1 | 19% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| Rīgas FS | 83 /33 | 88.4 | 81% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –