Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
Ried 3–2 Austria Vienna
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Josko Arena, Reed
RiedTeam 1595Austria ViennaTeam 1636- Stefan Schwab 23'
- Philipp Pomer 28'
- Isaac Thelin 82' (pen)
- Johannes Eggestein 18', 90+2'
We gave Ried 38% to win: they did.
- 18'Johannes Eggestein 1739 −20 assist Manfred Fischer 1725 −19Austria Vienna:Johannes Eggestein 1739 −20 assist Manfred Fischer 1725 −19
- Stefan Schwab 1617 +41 assist Martin Rasner 1571 +6023'Ried:Stefan Schwab 1617 +41 assist Martin Rasner 1571 +60
- J. Rhodes 1382 +3425'Ried:J. Rhodes 1382 +34
- Philipp Pomer 1709 +12 assist Moegamat Yusuf Maart 1661 +1428'Ried:Philipp Pomer 1709 +12 assist Moegamat Yusuf Maart 1661 +14
- 45'Julian Hettwer 1705 −2 for Sanel Saljic 1653 0Austria Vienna:Julian Hettwer 1705 −2 for Sanel Saljic 1653 0
- Ante Bajic 1667 +1255'Ried:Ante Bajic 1667 +12
- Isaac Thelin 1603 +10 for Evan Eghosa Aisowieren 1561 +2066'Ried:Isaac Thelin 1603 +10 for Evan Eghosa Aisowieren 1561 +20
- Dejan Radonjic 1594 +6 for Fabian Hubert Rossdorfer 1580 +1866'Ried:Dejan Radonjic 1594 +6 for Fabian Hubert Rossdorfer 1580 +18
- Oliver Sorg 1456 +10 for J. Rhodes 1382 +3466'Ried:Oliver Sorg 1456 +10 for J. Rhodes 1382 +34
- Stefan Schwab 1617 +4168'Ried:Stefan Schwab 1617 +41
- 71'Matteo Schablas 1597 −8* for Lee Tae-seok 1817 −10Austria Vienna:Matteo Schablas 1597 −8* for Lee Tae-seok 1817 −10
- Lukas Malicsek 1646 +3 for Martin Rasner 1571 +6073'Ried:Lukas Malicsek 1646 +3 for Martin Rasner 1571 +60
- 75'Kelvin Owusu Boateng 1555 0 for Vasilije Markovic 1496 0Austria Vienna:Kelvin Owusu Boateng 1555 0 for Vasilije Markovic 1496 0
- Moegamat Yusuf Maart 1661 +1479'Ried:Moegamat Yusuf Maart 1661 +14
- Isaac Thelin 1603 +10 (pen.)82'Ried:Isaac Thelin 1603 +10 (pen.)
- Joris Boguo – for Ante Bajic 1667 +1283'Ried:Joris Boguo – for Ante Bajic 1667 +12
- 90'Florian Wustinger 1535 0 for Manfred Fischer 1725 −19Austria Vienna:Florian Wustinger 1535 0 for Manfred Fischer 1725 −19
- 90+2'Johannes Eggestein 1739 −20Austria Vienna:Johannes Eggestein 1739 −20
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 38% · 29% · 33%(Ried · draw · Austria Vienna)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–2 had 2%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Ried €384K, Austria Vienna €790K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Bundesliga): Ried ranked #4 of 12, Austria Vienna #10.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ried
5th in Bundesliga · 11 pts from 8
- 10 OctWWSG Wattens Austrian Bundesliga1563
- 20 SepWWolfsberger AC Austrian Bundesliga1530
- 11 SepDRed Bull Salzburg Austrian Bundesliga1563
- 30 AugLTSV Hartberg Austrian Bundesliga1558
- 21 AugWGrazer AK Austrian Bundesliga1531
Austria Vienna
10th in Bundesliga · 7 pts from 8
- 10 OctLSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1708
- 19 SepDGrazer AK Austrian Bundesliga1704
- 13 SepWAustria Lustenau Austrian Bundesliga1693
- 2 SepLWSG Wattens Austrian Bundesliga1691
- 30 AugLRed Bull Salzburg Austrian Bundesliga1679
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ried | 11 /8 | 26.4 | 0% | 4% | 20% | 6th |
| Austria Vienna | 7 /8 | 25.8 | 0% | 4% | 25% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ried · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1646
Austria Vienna · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Average) · Elo 1744
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ried: balanced profile (how Mario Despotović plays) · Austria Vienna: balanced profile (how Stephan Helm plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.