Premier Soccer League · Regular Season - 10
Richards Bay vs Stellenbosch
Wed 4 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · King Zwelithini Stadium, Durban
Richards Bay host Stellenbosch on Wed 4 Nov 2026 (Premier Soccer League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Richards Bay 33%, draw 29%, Stellenbosch 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Richards Bay €179K, Stellenbosch €210K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Premier Soccer League): Richards Bay rank #1 of 17, Stellenbosch #15.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Richards Bay goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Richards Bay 1223 · Stellenbosch 1326
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Richards Bay · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1282
Stellenbosch · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1349
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Richards Bay
15th in Premier Soccer League · 3 pts from 8
- 13 OctLMamelodi Sundowns South Africa PSL1211
- 19 SepLSekhukhune United South Africa PSL1222
- 13 SepLMilford FC South Africa PSL1223
- 4 SepLAmazulu South Africa PSL1263
- 26 AugDKaizer Chiefs South Africa PSL1242
Stellenbosch
7th in Premier Soccer League · 10 pts from 8
- 13 OctDKaizer Chiefs South Africa PSL1323
- 19 SepWKruger United South Africa PSL1246
- 11 SepDSekhukhune United South Africa PSL1299
- 1 SepDDurban City South Africa PSL1309
- 26 AugLGolden Arrows South Africa PSL1279
Season outlook
From the Premier Soccer League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richards Bay | 3 /8 | 28.9 | 0% | 0% | 42% | 15th |
| Stellenbosch | 10 /8 | 39.9 | 0% | 3% | 2% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct · high-pressing
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Richards Bay: balanced profile (how Ronnie Gabriel plays) · Stellenbosch: balanced profile (how G. Hunt plays)