Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6
Rennes 4–1 Auxerre
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 15:15 UTC · Roazhon Park, Rennes
RennesTeam 2104
AuxerreTeam 1869Match story
Rennes · draw · AuxerreBefore kick-off: 61% · 23% · 16%
Last reading, 90+6': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Esteban Lepaul 15'
- Adrien Thomasson 53'
- Boulaye Dia 90+2', 90+4'
- Cameron Archer 25'
We gave Rennes 61% to win: they did.
- Esteban Lepaul 2246 +16 assist Charlie Cresswell 2131 +23*15'
Rennes:Esteban Lepaul 2246 +16 assist Charlie Cresswell 2131 +23* - 25'Cameron Archer 2026 −23* assist Mamadou Diop 1746 −8*
Auxerre:Cameron Archer 2026 −23* assist Mamadou Diop 1746 −8* - Anthony Rouault 2219 0*50'
Rennes:Anthony Rouault 2219 0* - Adrien Thomasson 2147 +9* assist Bryan Reynolds 1923 +48*53'
Rennes:Adrien Thomasson 2147 +9* assist Bryan Reynolds 1923 +48* - Esteban Lepaul 2246 +1659'
Rennes:Esteban Lepaul 2246 +16 - Adrien Thomasson 2147 +9*59'
Rennes:Adrien Thomasson 2147 +9* - Eliezer Mayenda 1951 −3* for Mousa Al-Tamari 2194 −3*67'
Rennes:Eliezer Mayenda 1951 −3* for Mousa Al-Tamari 2194 −3* - Djaoui Cissé 2077 −4* for Adrien Thomasson 2147 +9*67'
Rennes:Djaoui Cissé 2077 −4* for Adrien Thomasson 2147 +9* - 76'Elikya Legros 1580 −8* for Clément Akpa 1902 −8*
Auxerre:Elikya Legros 1580 −8* for Clément Akpa 1902 −8* - Ludovic Blas 2098 +3 for Issa Soumaré 1978 +7*77'
Rennes:Ludovic Blas 2098 +3 for Issa Soumaré 1978 +7* - Boulaye Dia 2055 −4* for Esteban Lepaul 2246 +1677'
Rennes:Boulaye Dia 2055 −4* for Esteban Lepaul 2246 +16 - 77'Pierre Ekwah 1835 −8* for Naouirou Ahamada 1859 −8*
Auxerre:Pierre Ekwah 1835 −8* for Naouirou Ahamada 1859 −8* - 77'Remy Labeau Lascary 1818 −8* for Danny Namaso 1972 −10*
Auxerre:Remy Labeau Lascary 1818 −8* for Danny Namaso 1972 −10* - 82'Aristide Zossou 1662 −8* for Arthur Piedfort 1888 −8*
Auxerre:Aristide Zossou 1662 −8* for Arthur Piedfort 1888 −8* - Przemysław Frankowski 2170 −3 for Mahamadou Nagida 2077 +7*85'
Rennes:Przemysław Frankowski 2170 −3 for Mahamadou Nagida 2077 +7* - 87'Youssef Khoudda for Romain Faivre 1889 −9*
Auxerre:Youssef Khoudda for Romain Faivre 1889 −9* - Djaoui Cissé 2077 −4*90'
Rennes:Djaoui Cissé 2077 −4* - Boulaye Dia 2055 −4* assist Ludovic Blas 2098 +390+2'
Rennes:Boulaye Dia 2055 −4* assist Ludovic Blas 2098 +3 - Boulaye Dia 2055 −4* assist Bryan Reynolds 1923 +48*90+4'
Rennes:Boulaye Dia 2055 −4* assist Bryan Reynolds 1923 +48*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 61% · 23% · 16%(Rennes · draw · Auxerre)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 4–1 had 3%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Rennes €8.4M, Auxerre €4.0M.
- Auxerre were without 1 expected starter: C. Makosso (1898).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rennes
6th in Ligue 1 · 10 pts from 5
- 19 SepLLyon Ligue 12113
- 16 SepDSturm Graz UEFA Europa League2157
- 11 SepWMarseille Ligue 12133
- 6 SepWAngers Ligue 12178
- 30 AugWLe Mans Ligue 12121
Auxerre
14th in Ligue 1 · 6 pts from 5
- 20 SepWStade Brestois 29 Ligue 11890
- 12 SepWNice Ligue 11862
- 4 SepLLyon Ligue 11840
- 29 AugLAngers Ligue 11846
- 22 AugLLens Ligue 11865
Season outlook
From the Ligue 1 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 10 /5 | 60.7 | 2% | 67% | 0% | 2nd |
| Auxerre | 6 /5 | 39.4 | 0% | 1% | 13% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Rennes · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1971

Auxerre · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2049
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rennes: balanced profile (how Franck Haise plays) · Auxerre: balanced profile (how William Still plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.