Serie A · Regular Season - 29
Remo 1–1 Gremio
Wed 7 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC · Mangueirao, Belem
RemoTeam 1646GremioTeam 1844We gave Gremio 39% to win: it ended in a draw.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 32% · 29% · 39%(Remo · draw · Gremio)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Remo €717K, Gremio €1.8M.
- Remo were without 2 expected starters: D. Tchamba (1789) and José Welison (1777).
- Gremio were without 4 expected starters: Gustavo Martins (1919), Diego Caito (1841), E. Noriega (1958) and Pedro Gabriel (1765).
- Home advantage made Remo the favourite: it added 12 points to their win chance; Série A has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Série A): Remo ranked #17 of 20, Gremio #1.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Remo
19th in Série A · 23 pts from 28
- 19 SepLSantos Brazil Serie A1746
- 14 SepLBahia Brazil Serie A1751
- 6 SepLFlamengo Brazil Serie A1763
- 31 AugLCoritiba Brazil Serie A1781
- 22 AugLFluminense Brazil Serie A1784
Gremio
17th in Série A · 29 pts from 28
- 20 SepDPalmeiras Brazil Serie A1906
- 16 SepLBotafogo Brazil Serie A1893
- 12 SepLVasco Da Gama Brazil Serie A1875
- 7 SepLVitoria Brazil Serie A1916
- 3 SepWInternacional Brazil Copa do Brasil1879
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo | 23 /28 | 33.3 | 0% | 0% | 96% | 19th |
| Gremio | 29 /28 | 42.4 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Remo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.8 (Good) · Elo 1714
Gremio · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1928
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Remo: balanced profile (how Thiago Carpini Barbosa plays) · Gremio: dribble-heavy (how Renato Portaluppi plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.