Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 9
Reims 4–2 Dijon
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Stade Auguste-Delaune, Reims
ReimsTeam 1793DijonTeam 1494- Yaya Fofana 19'
- Mohammed Daramy 22'
- Daouda Guindo 36'
- Arone Gadou 54'
- Adel Lembezat 12'
- Yanis Barka 85'
We gave Reims 66% to win: they did.
- 6'W. Diouf – for Ben-Chayeel Hamada –Dijon:W. Diouf – for Ben-Chayeel Hamada –
- 12'Adel Lembezat – assist Ange Lago –Dijon:Adel Lembezat – assist Ange Lago –
- Yaya Fofana – assist seydou dembele19'Reims:Yaya Fofana – assist seydou dembele
- Mohammed Daramy – assist Daouda Guindo –22'Reims:Mohammed Daramy – assist Daouda Guindo –
- Arone Gadou – for Mohammed Daramy –28'Reims:Arone Gadou – for Mohammed Daramy –
- 35'W. Diouf –Dijon:W. Diouf –
- Daouda Guindo –36'Reims:Daouda Guindo –
- 45'Brandon Nsimba Ndezi – for H. Vargas Ríos –Dijon:Brandon Nsimba Ndezi – for H. Vargas Ríos –
- Arone Gadou – assist Yaya Fofana –54'Reims:Arone Gadou – assist Yaya Fofana –
- 61'Moussa Faty – for Boubacar DialloDijon:Moussa Faty – for Boubacar Diallo
- 62'Samy Chouchane – for Jordan Marié –Dijon:Samy Chouchane – for Jordan Marié –
- Tidiane Diarrassouba – for seydou dembele63'Reims:Tidiane Diarrassouba – for seydou dembele
- Sambou Soumano – for Youssef el Kachati –63'Reims:Sambou Soumano – for Youssef el Kachati –
- John Patrick – for Chamsedin Kouranfal –78'Reims:John Patrick – for Chamsedin Kouranfal –
- John Otomewo – for Theo Leoni –78'Reims:John Otomewo – for Theo Leoni –
- 82'Yanis Barka – for Júlio Tavares –Dijon:Yanis Barka – for Júlio Tavares –
- 85'Yanis Barka – assist Brandon Nsimba Ndezi –Dijon:Yanis Barka – assist Brandon Nsimba Ndezi –
Before kick-off (provisional): 66% · 21% · 13%(Reims · draw · Dijon)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 4–2 had 2%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Reims €1.3M, Dijon €210K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Ligue 2 matchday 9: 299 points.
- Draw chance was 21%, below the Ligue 2 average of 27% this round.
- Ligue 2: T. Hülsmann was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1980).
- Reims were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Reims
4th in Ligue 2 · 14 pts from 8
- 10 OctDNantes France Ligue 21834
- 18 SepDMontpellier France Ligue 21827
- 11 SepWNancy France Ligue 21807
- 5 SepDGuingamp France Ligue 21815
- 29 AugWRED Star FC 93 France Ligue 21778
Dijon
7th in Ligue 2 · 12 pts from 8
- 12 OctWMetz France Ligue 21433
- 18 SepWAnnecy France Ligue 21395
- 11 SepWLaval France Ligue 21310
- 4 SepDBoulogne France Ligue 21348
- 31 AugLSaint Etienne France Ligue 21412
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reims | 14 /8 | 60.1 | 14% | 79% | 0% | 2nd |
| Dijon | 12 /8 | 39.5 | 0% | 1% | 22% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Reims · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1790
Dijon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1695
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –