Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 9
RED Star FC 93 0–1 Saint Etienne
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Stade de Paris, Saint-Ouen
RED Star FC 93Team 1671
Saint EtienneTeam 1894Match story
RED Star FC 93 · draw · Saint EtienneBefore kick-off: 25% · 27% · 48%
Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 4% · 96%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Irvin Cardona 13'
We gave Saint Etienne 48% to win: they did.
- 13'Irvin Cardona 1903 +17 assist Jakob Breum 1918 +32
Saint Etienne:Irvin Cardona 1903 +17 assist Jakob Breum 1918 +32 - 28'João Ferreira 1888 +9 for Julien Le Cardinal 1916 −1*
Saint Etienne:João Ferreira 1888 +9 for Julien Le Cardinal 1916 −1* - 39'João Ferreira 1888 +9
Saint Etienne:João Ferreira 1888 +9 - Jovany Ikanga A Ngele 1731 −444'
RED Star FC 93:Jovany Ikanga A Ngele 1731 −4 - 48'Ben Old 1818 +13
Saint Etienne:Ben Old 1818 +13 - 52'Zuriko Davitashvili 1867 +6 for Irvin Cardona 1903 +17
Saint Etienne:Zuriko Davitashvili 1867 +6 for Irvin Cardona 1903 +17 - Saîf-Eddine Khaoui 1666 −4 for Matthieu Huard 1750 −665'
RED Star FC 93:Saîf-Eddine Khaoui 1666 −4 for Matthieu Huard 1750 −6 - Theo Magnin 1753 −2 for Jovany Ikanga A Ngele 1731 −466'
RED Star FC 93:Theo Magnin 1753 −2 for Jovany Ikanga A Ngele 1731 −4 - 72'Mahmoud Jaber 1788 0* for Ben Old 1818 +13
Saint Etienne:Mahmoud Jaber 1788 0* for Ben Old 1818 +13 - 72'Joshua Duffus 1621 +5 for Thierno Ballo 2000 +6
Saint Etienne:Joshua Duffus 1621 +5 for Thierno Ballo 2000 +6 - Ilija Despotovic 1415 0 for Godson Kyeremeh 1592 074'
RED Star FC 93:Ilija Despotovic 1415 0 for Godson Kyeremeh 1592 0 - Leonardo Daniel Ulineia Buta 1685 −8* for Elyaz Zidane 1578 081'
RED Star FC 93:Leonardo Daniel Ulineia Buta 1685 −8* for Elyaz Zidane 1578 0 - Idrissa Sabaly 1692 0 for Kémo Cissé 1659 −481'
RED Star FC 93:Idrissa Sabaly 1692 0 for Kémo Cissé 1659 −4
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 25% · 27% · 48%(RED Star FC 93 · draw · Saint Etienne)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–1 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: RED Star FC 93 €558K, Saint Etienne €1.6M.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
RED Star FC 93
3rd in Ligue 2 · 17 pts from 8
- 10 OctWClermont Foot France Ligue 21671
- 19 SepWGuingamp France Ligue 21668
- 14 SepWMetz France Ligue 21664
- 4 SepWLaval France Ligue 21659
- 29 AugLReims France Ligue 21670
Saint Etienne
1st in Ligue 2 · 19 pts from 8
- 10 OctWRodez France Ligue 21865
- 19 SepDMetz France Ligue 21871
- 12 SepLDunkerque France Ligue 21878
- 5 SepWMontpellier France Ligue 21860
- 31 AugWDijon France Ligue 21850
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RED Star FC 93 | 17 /8 | 56.8 | 6% | 57% | 0% | 4th |
| Saint Etienne | 19 /8 | 67.9 | 67% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

RED Star FC 93 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1775

Saint Etienne · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 1902
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
RED Star FC 93: balanced profile (how Damien Perrinelle plays) · Saint Etienne: balanced profile (how Ian Cathro plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.