Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 13
RED Star FC 93 vs PAU
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stade Bauer, Paris - Saint-Ouen
RED Star FC 93 host PAU on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Ligue 2); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: RED Star FC 93 43%, draw 28%, PAU 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: RED Star FC 93 €569K, PAU €426K.
- PAU have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. RED Star FC 93 goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: RED Star FC 93 1678 · PAU 1651
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
RED Star FC 93 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1777
PAU · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Elite) · Elo 1755
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
RED Star FC 93
6th in Ligue 2 · 17 pts from 11
- 2 NovLNancy France Ligue 21683
- 26 OctLMontpellier France Ligue 21691
- 17 OctLSaint Etienne France Ligue 21674
- 10 OctWClermont Foot France Ligue 21666
- 19 SepWGuingamp France Ligue 21668
PAU
5th in Ligue 2 · 20 pts from 11
- 30 OctWMetz France Ligue 21664
- 23 OctWGrenoble France Ligue 21630
- 16 OctWGuingamp France Ligue 21575
- 9 OctWLaval France Ligue 21542
- 18 SepWDunkerque France Ligue 21502
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RED Star FC 93 | 17 /11 | 50.3 | <1% | 17% | <1% | 6th |
| PAU | 20 /11 | 50.7 | 1% | 20% | <1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
RED Star FC 93: balanced profile (how Damien Perrinelle plays) · PAU: balanced profile (how Thierry Debès plays)