Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 11
RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy
Mon 2 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Stade Bauer, Paris - Saint-Ouen
RED Star FC 93 host Nancy on Mon 2 Nov 2026 (Ligue 2); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: RED Star FC 93 45%, draw 28%, Nancy 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: RED Star FC 93 €669K, Nancy €575K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. RED Star FC 93 goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: RED Star FC 93 1689 · Nancy 1640
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
RED Star FC 93 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1764
Nancy · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1712
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
RED Star FC 93
3rd in Ligue 2 · 17 pts from 9
- 17 OctLSaint Etienne France Ligue 21677
- 10 OctWClermont Foot France Ligue 21671
- 19 SepWGuingamp France Ligue 21668
- 14 SepWMetz France Ligue 21664
- 4 SepWLaval France Ligue 21659
Nancy
4th in Ligue 2 · 16 pts from 9
- 16 OctWAnnecy France Ligue 21659
- 9 OctWGuingamp France Ligue 21621
- 18 SepWRodez France Ligue 21587
- 11 SepLReims France Ligue 21531
- 7 SepLNantes France Ligue 21644
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RED Star FC 93 | 17 /9 | 54.3 | 2% | 46% | <1% | 4th |
| Nancy | 16 /9 | 51.1 | 1% | 27% | 1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
RED Star FC 93: balanced profile (how Damien Perrinelle plays) · Nancy: direct (how Oswald Tanchot plays)