Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
Red Bull Salzburg 3–0 SCR Altach
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Red Bull Arena, Salzburg
Red Bull SalzburgTeam 1931
SCR AltachTeam 1587Match story
Red Bull Salzburg · draw · SCR AltachBefore kick-off: 70% · 19% · 11%
Last reading, 90+6': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Haris Tabaković 6'
- Jesper Lindstrom 73'
- Damir Redzic 89'
We gave Red Bull Salzburg 70% to win: they did.
- Haris Tabaković 2071 +7 assist Jesper Lindstrom 2039 +136'
Red Bull Salzburg:Haris Tabaković 2071 +7 assist Jesper Lindstrom 2039 +13 - Damir Redzic 1806 +11 for Edmund Baidoo 1957 +1256'
Red Bull Salzburg:Damir Redzic 1806 +11 for Edmund Baidoo 1957 +12 - Yorbe Vertessen 1951 +3 for Gaoussou Diakité 1804 +1856'
Red Bull Salzburg:Yorbe Vertessen 1951 +3 for Gaoussou Diakité 1804 +18 - 59'Denizcan Cosgun 1505 0 for Rodney Elongo-Yombo 1564 −2
SCR Altach:Denizcan Cosgun 1505 0 for Rodney Elongo-Yombo 1564 −2 - Umut Deger Tohumcu 1837 −5* for Bartosz Mazurek 1963 +1465'
Red Bull Salzburg:Umut Deger Tohumcu 1837 −5* for Bartosz Mazurek 1963 +14 - 72'srdan hristic 1616 −1 for Yann massombo 1553 −2
SCR Altach:srdan hristic 1616 −1 for Yann massombo 1553 −2 - 72'Yanis Eisschill 1408 −8* for Vesel Demaku 1624 −6
SCR Altach:Yanis Eisschill 1408 −8* for Vesel Demaku 1624 −6 - Jesper Lindstrom 2039 +1373'
Red Bull Salzburg:Jesper Lindstrom 2039 +13 - Tim Drexler 1889 +1 for Leandro Morgalla 1901 +880'
Red Bull Salzburg:Tim Drexler 1889 +1 for Leandro Morgalla 1901 +8 - Sota Kitano 1911 +2 for Haris Tabaković 2071 +780'
Red Bull Salzburg:Sota Kitano 1911 +2 for Haris Tabaković 2071 +7 - 81'Johannes Naschberger 1564 −1 for Niklas Niehoff 1629 −7
SCR Altach:Johannes Naschberger 1564 −1 for Niklas Niehoff 1629 −7 - 81'Jakob Brandtner 1583 −8* for Benjamin·Bockle 1639 −7
SCR Altach:Jakob Brandtner 1583 −8* for Benjamin·Bockle 1639 −7 - 84'Filip Milojevic 1495 0
SCR Altach:Filip Milojevic 1495 0 - Damir Redzic 1806 +11 assist Sota Kitano 1911 +289'
Red Bull Salzburg:Damir Redzic 1806 +11 assist Sota Kitano 1911 +2
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 70% · 19% · 11%(Red Bull Salzburg · draw · SCR Altach)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 3–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Red Bull Salzburg €2.4M, SCR Altach €407K.
- Draw chance was 19%, below the Bundesliga average of 25% this round.
- Bundesliga: K. Boma was the highest-rated defender (2017).
- Style contrast in discipline (Bundesliga): Red Bull Salzburg ranked #1 of 12, SCR Altach #12.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Red Bull Salzburg
3rd in Bundesliga · 18 pts from 8
- 15 OctLAC Milan UEFA Europa League1955
- 10 OctDGrazer AK Austrian Bundesliga1939
- 20 SepWSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1910
- 17 SepWLevski Sofia UEFA Europa League1918
- 11 SepDRied Austrian Bundesliga1909
SCR Altach
11th in Bundesliga · 6 pts from 8
- 11 OctWWolfsberger AC Austrian Bundesliga1566
- 19 SepLAustria Lustenau Austrian Bundesliga1583
- 12 SepLGrazer AK Austrian Bundesliga1581
- 29 AugLLask Linz Austrian Bundesliga1609
- 22 AugLTSV Hartberg Austrian Bundesliga1635
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bull Salzburg | 18 /8 | 44.5 | 32% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
| SCR Altach | 6 /8 | 20.8 | 0% | <1% | 62% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Red Bull Salzburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 2017

SCR Altach · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1635
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Red Bull Salzburg: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Danny Röhl plays) · SCR Altach: balanced profile (how Ognjen Zaric plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.