Primera División · Apertura - 26
Real Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosí
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
Real Tomayapo host Nacional Potosí on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Real Tomayapo 32%, draw 29%, Nacional Potosí 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Real Tomayapo €121K, Nacional Potosí €218K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Real Tomayapo goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–28%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–07%
- 0–07%
- Other scores48%
Team Elo: Real Tomayapo 1296 · Nacional Potosí 1418
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Real Tomayapo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1375
Nacional Potosí · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.1 (Good) · Elo 1508
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Real Tomayapo
13th in Primera División · 23 pts from 25
- 6 NovWIndependiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1286
- 2 NovLBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1297
- 25 OctLAurora Bolivia Primera Division1261
- 17 OctWGualberto Villarroel SJ Bolivia Primera Division1213
- 9 OctDSan Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division1239
Nacional Potosí
7th in Primera División · 33 pts from 25
- 8 NovDReal Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1409
- 31 OctDReal Oruro Bolivia Primera Division1364
- 26 OctWGuabirá Bolivia Primera Division1395
- 18 OctLBolívar Bolivia Primera Division1415
- 11 OctDAurora Bolivia Primera Division1415
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Tomayapo | 23 /25 | 26.9 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 13th |
| Nacional Potosí | 33 /25 | 36.9 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Real Tomayapo: balanced profile (how J. Alfonso plays) · Nacional Potosí: balanced profile (how E. Villegas plays)