Primera División · Apertura - 22
Real Tomayapo 1–0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
Real TomayapoTeam 1303Gualberto Villarroel SJTeam 1376- D. Robles 45+4'
We gave Real Tomayapo 36% to win: they did.
- 20'José Vargas –Gualberto Villarroel SJ:José Vargas –
- Lisandro Sebastián Montenegro – for Alexis Ribera –45'Real Tomayapo:Lisandro Sebastián Montenegro – for Alexis Ribera –
- 45+1'Matheus Moresche –Gualberto Villarroel SJ:Matheus Moresche –
- D. Robles – assist Marvin Bejarano –45+4'Real Tomayapo:D. Robles – assist Marvin Bejarano –
- 47'Artur William CostaGualberto Villarroel SJ:Artur William Costa
- 52'Luis Zeballos – for Matheus Moresche –Gualberto Villarroel SJ:Luis Zeballos – for Matheus Moresche –
- Luis·Cardenas –64'Real Tomayapo:Luis·Cardenas –
- Bernabé David Aguirre Aramayo for Vladimir Antonio Gálvez Lazcano –67'Real Tomayapo:Bernabé David Aguirre Aramayo for Vladimir Antonio Gálvez Lazcano –
- Javier Guerra – for Ramiro Eguez –67'Real Tomayapo:Javier Guerra – for Ramiro Eguez –
- Ricardo Suárez Antelo – for Cristhian Arabe68'Real Tomayapo:Ricardo Suárez Antelo – for Cristhian Arabe
- 70'sebastian valdez – for Elmer José Quispe Frías –Gualberto Villarroel SJ:sebastian valdez – for Elmer José Quispe Frías –
- Jorge Orozco – for Ruan·Costa de Freitas –78'Real Tomayapo:Jorge Orozco – for Ruan·Costa de Freitas –
- 87'Santiago Pinto Soliz for G. Vaca –Gualberto Villarroel SJ:Santiago Pinto Soliz for G. Vaca –
- 87'Rodrigo Asur Orihuela Rivero – for Luis Raul Cruz Valverde –Gualberto Villarroel SJ:Rodrigo Asur Orihuela Rivero – for Luis Raul Cruz Valverde –
- 90+1'Fernando Aguilar Dorado –Gualberto Villarroel SJ:Fernando Aguilar Dorado –
Before kick-off (provisional): 36% · 29% · 35%(Real Tomayapo · draw · Gualberto Villarroel SJ)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Real Tomayapo €143K, Gualberto Villarroel SJ €184K.
- Home advantage made Real Tomayapo the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in attacking (Primera División): Real Tomayapo ranked #13 of 16, Gualberto Villarroel SJ #4.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Real Tomayapo
16th in Primera División · 17 pts from 21
- 9 OctDSan Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division1306
- 17 SepLOriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1299
- 14 SepLBolívar Bolivia Primera Division1308
- 6 SepLThe Strongest Bolivia Primera Division1277
- 23 AugDAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1290
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
15th in Primera División · 17 pts from 21
- 12 OctWGuabirá Bolivia Primera Division1286
- 18 SepLBolívar Bolivia Primera Division1294
- 12 SepLNacional Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1322
- 5 SepLAurora Bolivia Primera Division1354
- 25 AugDOriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1290
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Tomayapo | 17 /21 | 25.5 | 0% | 0% | 75% | 16th |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 17 /21 | 26.6 | 0% | 0% | 58% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Real Tomayapo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1248
Gualberto Villarroel SJ · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1283
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Real Tomayapo: balanced profile (how Jorge Rolando Alfonso Ávalos plays) · Gualberto Villarroel SJ: balanced profile (how Julio César Baldivieso Rico plays)