La Liga · Regular Season - 10
Real Sociedad vs Levante
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Anoeta, San Sebastian
Real Sociedad host Levante on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (La Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Real Sociedad 70%, draw 19%, Levante 12%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Real Sociedad €13.8M, Levante €3.5M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Real Sociedad goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 3–09%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–0expected 1.1 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 4.9 pts
Team Elo: Real Sociedad 2206 · Levante 1906
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Real Sociedad · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 2245
Levante · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 2077
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Real Sociedad
5th in La Liga · 16 pts from 9
- 18 OctWMalaga La Liga2180
- 15 OctDUnion St. Gilloise UEFA Europa League2169
- 11 OctWDeportivo La Coruna La Liga2156
- 20 SepWValencia La Liga2148
- 17 SepLBournemouth UEFA Europa League2110
Levante
17th in La Liga · 7 pts from 8
- 16 OctDDeportivo La Coruna La Liga1891
- 12 OctDSevilla La Liga1895
- 20 SepLVillarreal La Liga2002
- 13 SepLBarcelona La Liga1989
- 6 SepDMalaga La Liga1984
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 16 /9 | 63.9 | 0% | 19% | 0% | 5th |
| Levante | 7 /8 | 37.2 | 0% | 0% | 36% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Real Sociedad: balanced profile (how Pellegrino Matarazzo plays) · Levante: balanced profile (how Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro plays)