La Liga · Regular Season - 8
Real Sociedad 3–2 Deportivo La Coruna
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 14:15 UTC · Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastian
Real SociedadTeam 2118
Deportivo La CorunaTeam 1914Match story
Real Sociedad · draw · Deportivo La CorunaBefore kick-off: 62% · 22% · 16%
Last reading, 90+7': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Jon Martin 29'
- Arsen Zakharyan 34'
- Gonçalo Guedes 54'
- Mario Soriano 61'
- Yeremay Hernández 69' (pen)
We gave Real Sociedad 62% to win: they did.
- Jon Martin 2219 +18* assist Carlos Soler 2265 +7*29'
Real Sociedad:Jon Martin 2219 +18* assist Carlos Soler 2265 +7* - Arsen Zakharyan 2015 +16*34'
Real Sociedad:Arsen Zakharyan 2015 +16* - 40'David Mella 1826 −8*
Deportivo La Coruna:David Mella 1826 −8* - 45'Riki Rodríguez 1847 −9* for David Mella 1826 −8*
Deportivo La Coruna:Riki Rodríguez 1847 −9* for David Mella 1826 −8* - Gonçalo Guedes 2250 +5* assist Ander Barrenetxea 2182 +19*54'
Real Sociedad:Gonçalo Guedes 2250 +5* assist Ander Barrenetxea 2182 +19* - Job Ochieng 1870 −1* for Gonçalo Guedes 2250 +5*56'
Real Sociedad:Job Ochieng 1870 −1* for Gonçalo Guedes 2250 +5* - Mikel Oyarzabal 2429 0 for Arsen Zakharyan 2015 +16*56'
Real Sociedad:Mikel Oyarzabal 2429 0 for Arsen Zakharyan 2015 +16* - 57'Adria Altimira 1943 −8* for Ximo Navarro 1828 −16*
Deportivo La Coruna:Adria Altimira 1943 −8* for Ximo Navarro 1828 −16* - 57'Lorenzo Amatucci 2117 −8* for Diego Villares 1862 −10*
Deportivo La Coruna:Lorenzo Amatucci 2117 −8* for Diego Villares 1862 −10* - 57'Adama Traoré 2068 −10* for Luismi Cruz 2073 −8*
Deportivo La Coruna:Adama Traoré 2068 −10* for Luismi Cruz 2073 −8* - 61'Mario Soriano 2036 −8* assist Riki Rodríguez 1847 −9*
Deportivo La Coruna:Mario Soriano 2036 −8* assist Riki Rodríguez 1847 −9* - Pablo Marin 1921 +5*66'
Real Sociedad:Pablo Marin 1921 +5* - 69'Yeremay Hernández 1941 −8* (pen.)
Deportivo La Coruna:Yeremay Hernández 1941 −8* (pen.) - Igor Zubeldia 2147 −7* for Carlos Soler 2265 +7*69'
Real Sociedad:Igor Zubeldia 2147 −7* for Carlos Soler 2265 +7* - 71'José María Giménez 2268 −17*
Deportivo La Coruna:José María Giménez 2268 −17* - 79'Jonathan Asp Jensen 1711 −8* for Giacomo Quagliata 2025 −8*
Deportivo La Coruna:Jonathan Asp Jensen 1711 −8* for Giacomo Quagliata 2025 −8* - Hector Fort 2008 −7* for Ander Barrenetxea 2182 +19*88'
Real Sociedad:Hector Fort 2008 −7* for Ander Barrenetxea 2182 +19* - 90'Lorenzo Amatucci 2117 −8*
Deportivo La Coruna:Lorenzo Amatucci 2117 −8* - Yangel Herrera 2032 +5*90+4'
Real Sociedad:Yangel Herrera 2032 +5*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 62% · 22% · 16%(Real Sociedad · draw · Deportivo La Coruna)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (10%); the result 3–2 had 3%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Real Sociedad €11.8M, Deportivo La Coruna €2.4M.
- Real Sociedad were without 1 expected starter: J. Aramburu (2269).
- Deportivo La Coruna were without 1 expected starter: P. Aubameyang (2148).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Real Sociedad
8th in La Liga · 10 pts from 7
- 20 SepWValencia La Liga2148
- 17 SepLBournemouth UEFA Europa League2110
- 13 SepLAtletico Madrid La Liga2175
- 7 SepWElche La Liga2126
- 3 SepDCelta Vigo La Liga2171
Deportivo La Coruna
7th in La Liga · 10 pts from 7
- 20 SepDReal Betis La Liga1949
- 16 SepLSevilla La Liga2040
- 13 SepDGetafe La Liga2094
- 5 SepWVillarreal La Liga1949
- 30 AugWValencia La Liga1846
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 10 /7 | 60.4 | 0% | 12% | 0% | 5th |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 10 /7 | 45.4 | 0% | <1% | 7% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Real Sociedad · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2226

Deportivo La Coruna · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 2123
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Real Sociedad: balanced profile (how Pellegrino Matarazzo plays) · Deportivo La Coruna: possession-based (how Antonio Hidalgo Morilla plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.