Segunda División · Regular Season - 14
Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijon
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:15 UTC · Estadio Zubieta, San Sebastian
Real Sociedad II host Sporting Gijon on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Real Sociedad II 28%, draw 28%, Sporting Gijon 43%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Real Sociedad II €826K, Sporting Gijon €948K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Segunda División matchday 14: 216 points.
- Only 1 of Real Sociedad II's expected starters is past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Real Sociedad II goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Real Sociedad II 1632 · Sporting Gijon 1848
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Real Sociedad II · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1624
Sporting Gijon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1941
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Real Sociedad II
20th in Segunda División · 8 pts from 11
- 24 OctLLas Palmas Spain Segunda Division1635
- 17 OctLAlmeria Spain Segunda Division1638
- 10 OctLCelta de Vigo II Spain Segunda Division1620
- 4 OctLGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1659
- 26 SepLAD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda Division1654
Sporting Gijon
8th in Segunda División · 19 pts from 11
- 25 OctLCastellón Spain Segunda Division1876
- 17 OctWAlbacete Spain Segunda Division1826
- 11 OctWCadiz Spain Segunda Division1798
- 4 OctWCelta de Vigo II Spain Segunda Division1809
- 27 SepLOviedo Spain Segunda Division1877
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad II | 8 /11 | 41.5 | 0% | 0% | 56% | 21st |
| Sporting Gijon | 19 /11 | 66.6 | 3% | 21% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Real Sociedad II: balanced profile (how Jon Ansotegi Gorostola plays) · Sporting Gijon: balanced profile (how N. Larcamón plays)