Segunda División · Regular Season - 12
Real Sociedad II vs Girona
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Anoeta, San Sebastian
Real Sociedad II host Girona on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Real Sociedad II 22%, draw 26%, Girona 52%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Real Sociedad II €891K, Girona €3.7M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Segunda División matchday 12: 317 points.
- Segunda División: Fran Beltrán is the highest-rated midfielder (2050).
- Real Sociedad II's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.6 over 180 days.
- Only 1 of Real Sociedad II's expected starters is past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Real Sociedad II goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Real Sociedad II 1627 · Girona 1944
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Real Sociedad II · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Average) · Elo 1662
Girona · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1990
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Real Sociedad II
19th in Segunda División · 8 pts from 10
- 17 OctLAlmeria Spain Segunda Division1638
- 10 OctLCelta de Vigo II Spain Segunda Division1620
- 4 OctLGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1659
- 26 SepLAD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda Division1654
- 19 SepLMallorca Spain Segunda Division1706
Girona
5th in Segunda División · 18 pts from 10
- 18 OctWFC Andorra Spain Segunda Division1901
- 12 OctDTenerife Spain Segunda Division1965
- 4 OctDMallorca Spain Segunda Division1914
- 25 SepWAlbacete Spain Segunda Division1899
- 19 SepWCadiz Spain Segunda Division1917
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad II | 8 /10 | 42.6 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 21st |
| Girona | 18 /10 | 75.4 | 23% | 71% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Real Sociedad II: balanced profile (how Jon Ansotegi Gorostola plays) · Girona: possession-based (how Quique Alvarez plays)