Segunda División · Regular Season - 15
Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:15 UTC · Estadio Zubieta, San Sebastian
Real Sociedad II host Cadiz on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Real Sociedad II 38%, draw 29%, Cadiz 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Real Sociedad II €624K, Cadiz €792K.
- Home advantage makes Real Sociedad II the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
- Only 1 of Real Sociedad II's expected starters is past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Real Sociedad II goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Real Sociedad II 1636 · Cadiz 1725
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Real Sociedad II · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1625
Cadiz · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1828
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Real Sociedad II
17th in Segunda División · 12 pts from 13
- 9 NovDSabadell Spain Segunda Division1630
- 31 OctWGirona Spain Segunda Division1571
- 24 OctLLas Palmas Spain Segunda Division1628
- 17 OctLAlmeria Spain Segunda Division1630
- 10 OctLCelta de Vigo II Spain Segunda Division1612
Cadiz
20th in Segunda División · 10 pts from 13
- 7 NovLOviedo Spain Segunda Division1749
- 2 NovLMallorca Spain Segunda Division1726
- 25 OctWAD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda Division1697
- 18 OctLGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1689
- 11 OctLSporting Gijon Spain Segunda Division1751
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad II | 12 /13 | 44.2 | 0% | 0% | 36% | 21st |
| Cadiz | 10 /13 | 46.6 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Real Sociedad II: balanced profile (how Jon Ansotegi Gorostola plays) · Cadiz: balanced profile (how Borja Jiménez plays)