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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 29

Real Salt Lake 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes

Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 01:30 UTC · Rio Tinto Stadium, Sandy

Real Salt Lake crestReal Salt LakeTeam 1806
1–1
Full time
HT 0–0
San Jose Earthquakes crestSan Jose EarthquakesTeam 1924

Match story

Real Salt Lake · draw · San Jose Earthquakes

Before kick-off: 36% · 28% · 36%

Live chances: Real Salt Lake 1%, draw 98%, San Jose Earthquakes 1% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 36%, draw 28%, San Jose Earthquakes 36%2' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 36%, draw 28%, San Jose Earthquakes 36%3' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 36%, draw 28%, San Jose Earthquakes 36%4' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 36%, draw 28%, San Jose Earthquakes 36%5' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 36%, draw 28%, San Jose Earthquakes 36%6' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 36%, draw 28%, San Jose Earthquakes 36%7' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 36%, draw 29%, San Jose Earthquakes 36%8' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 35%, draw 29%, San Jose Earthquakes 36%9' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 35%, draw 29%, San Jose Earthquakes 36%10' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 35%, draw 29%, San Jose Earthquakes 36%11' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 35%, draw 29%, San Jose Earthquakes 36%12' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 35%, draw 29%, San Jose Earthquakes 35%13' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 35%, draw 30%, San Jose Earthquakes 35%14' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 35%, draw 30%, San Jose Earthquakes 35%15' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 35%, draw 30%, San Jose Earthquakes 35%16' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 35%, draw 30%, San Jose Earthquakes 35%17' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 35%, draw 30%, San Jose Earthquakes 35%18' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 35%, draw 30%, San Jose Earthquakes 35%19' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 35%, draw 31%, San Jose Earthquakes 35%21' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 34%, draw 31%, San Jose Earthquakes 35%22' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 34%, draw 31%, San Jose Earthquakes 35%23' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 34%, draw 31%, San Jose Earthquakes 34%24' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 34%, draw 32%, San Jose Earthquakes 34%25' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 34%, draw 32%, San Jose Earthquakes 34%26' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 34%, draw 32%, San Jose Earthquakes 34%27' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 34%, draw 32%, San Jose Earthquakes 34%28' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 34%, draw 32%, San Jose Earthquakes 34%29' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 34%, draw 33%, San Jose Earthquakes 34%30' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 33%, draw 33%, San Jose Earthquakes 34%31' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 33%, draw 33%, San Jose Earthquakes 34%32' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 33%, draw 33%, San Jose Earthquakes 33%34' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 33%, draw 34%, San Jose Earthquakes 33%35' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 33%, draw 34%, San Jose Earthquakes 33%36' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 33%, draw 34%, San Jose Earthquakes 33%37' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 33%, draw 35%, San Jose Earthquakes 33%38' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 32%, draw 35%, San Jose Earthquakes 33%39' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 32%, draw 35%, San Jose Earthquakes 32%40' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 32%, draw 36%, San Jose Earthquakes 32%41' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 32%, draw 36%, San Jose Earthquakes 32%42' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 32%, draw 36%, San Jose Earthquakes 32%43' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 32%, draw 37%, San Jose Earthquakes 32%44' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 31%, draw 37%, San Jose Earthquakes 32%45' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 31%, draw 37%, San Jose Earthquakes 31%HT · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 31%, draw 39%, San Jose Earthquakes 31%46' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 30%, draw 39%, San Jose Earthquakes 31%47' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 30%, draw 39%, San Jose Earthquakes 31%48' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 30%, draw 40%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%49' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 30%, draw 40%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%50' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 30%, draw 41%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%51' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 29%, draw 41%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%52' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 29%, draw 42%, San Jose Earthquakes 29%53' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 29%, draw 42%, San Jose Earthquakes 29%54' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 29%, draw 43%, San Jose Earthquakes 29%55' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 28%, draw 43%, San Jose Earthquakes 28%56' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 28%, draw 44%, San Jose Earthquakes 28%57' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 28%, draw 45%, San Jose Earthquakes 28%58' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 27%, draw 45%, San Jose Earthquakes 27%59' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 27%, draw 46%, San Jose Earthquakes 27%60' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 27%, draw 47%, San Jose Earthquakes 27%61' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 26%, draw 48%, San Jose Earthquakes 26%62' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 26%, draw 48%, San Jose Earthquakes 26%63' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 25%, draw 49%, San Jose Earthquakes 26%64' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 25%, draw 50%, San Jose Earthquakes 25%65' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 25%, draw 51%, San Jose Earthquakes 25%66' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 24%, draw 51%, San Jose Earthquakes 24%67' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 24%, draw 52%, San Jose Earthquakes 24%68' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 23%, draw 53%, San Jose Earthquakes 24%69' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 23%, draw 54%, San Jose Earthquakes 23%70' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 23%, draw 55%, San Jose Earthquakes 23%71' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 22%, draw 56%, San Jose Earthquakes 22%72' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 22%, draw 57%, San Jose Earthquakes 22%73' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 21%, draw 58%, San Jose Earthquakes 21%74' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 21%, draw 59%, San Jose Earthquakes 21%75' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 20%, draw 60%, San Jose Earthquakes 20%76' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 19%, draw 61%, San Jose Earthquakes 20%77' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 19%, draw 62%, San Jose Earthquakes 19%78' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 18%, draw 63%, San Jose Earthquakes 18%79' · 0–0 · Real Salt Lake 18%, draw 65%, San Jose Earthquakes 18%80' · 1–0 · Real Salt Lake 83%, draw 15%, San Jose Earthquakes 2%81' · 1–0 · Real Salt Lake 83%, draw 15%, San Jose Earthquakes 2%82' · 1–0 · Real Salt Lake 84%, draw 14%, San Jose Earthquakes 2%83' · 1–0 · Real Salt Lake 85%, draw 14%, San Jose Earthquakes 1%84' · 1–0 · Real Salt Lake 86%, draw 13%, San Jose Earthquakes 1%85' · 1–0 · Real Salt Lake 87%, draw 12%, San Jose Earthquakes 1%86' · 1–0 · Real Salt Lake 87%, draw 12%, San Jose Earthquakes 1%87' · 1–0 · Real Salt Lake 88%, draw 11%, San Jose Earthquakes 1%88' · 1–0 · Real Salt Lake 89%, draw 10%, San Jose Earthquakes 1%89' · 1–0 · Real Salt Lake 90%, draw 9%, San Jose Earthquakes 1%90' · 1–0 · Real Salt Lake 91%, draw 8%, San Jose Earthquakes 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Real Salt Lake 92%, draw 7%, San Jose Earthquakes 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Real Salt Lake 94%, draw 6%, San Jose Earthquakes 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Real Salt Lake 95%, draw 5%, San Jose Earthquakes 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Real Salt Lake 96%, draw 4%, San Jose Earthquakes 0%90+5' · 1–1 · Real Salt Lake 2%, draw 96%, San Jose Earthquakes 2%90+6' · 1–1 · Real Salt Lake 1%, draw 98%, San Jose Earthquakes 1%

Last reading, 90+6': 1% · 98% · 1%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave San Jose Earthquakes 36% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 45'San Jose Earthquakes:Eduard Löwen 1944 −2 for Paul Marie 1633 −3
  2. 57'Real Salt Lake:Chadwick Zachary Booth 1311 0 for Dominik Marczuk 1785 0
  3. 59'San Jose Earthquakes:Timo Werner 2124 −2 for Nick Fernandez 1592 0
  4. 59'San Jose Earthquakes:Jack Jasinski 1805 0 for Beau Leroux 2105 0
  5. 68'San Jose Earthquakes:Vitor Costa 1789 −4 for Jamar Ricketts 1903 0
  6. 74'Real Salt Lake:Ariath Piol 1526 0 for Sergi Solans 1861 0
  7. 74'Real Salt Lake:Aiden Hezarkhani 1760 0 for Saba Lobjanidze 1690 −4
  8. 79'Real Salt Lake:Luc De Fougerolles 1710 0 assist Juan Sanabria 1920 0
  9. 82'Real Salt Lake:DeAndre Yedlin 1865 −5 for Luc De Fougerolles 1710 0
  10. 83'San Jose Earthquakes:Luka Jovanovic 1689 −8* for Max Floriani 1674 0
  11. 90+1'Real Salt Lake:Ariath Piol 1526 0
  12. 90+4'San Jose Earthquakes:Jack Jasinski 1805 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-2-1Formations5-3-2
GA. Gunn20800
DP. Marie1633−3
DM. Floriani16740
DD. Romney1930−5
DR. Roberts2025−7*
DJ. Ricketts19030
MI. Harkes1899−3
MN. Fernandez15920
MBeau Leroux21050
FP. Judd1986−1
FO. Bouda20420
CB. Arena20960
Before kick-off: 36% · 28% · 36%(Real Salt Lake · draw · San Jose Earthquakes)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Real Salt Lake €1.3M, San Jose Earthquakes €1.5M.
  • San Jose Earthquakes were without 1 expected starter: N. Tsakiris (2135).
  • Largest team-Elo gap of MLS matchday 29: 181 points.
  • San Jose Earthquakes were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Real Salt Lake

11th in MLS · 32 pts from 28

  • 10 OctLPhiladelphia Union 1838
  • 27 SepWNew England Revolution 1803
  • 24 SepLSeattle Sounders 1801
  • 20 SepLVancouver Whitecaps 1786
  • 13 SepLNew York City FC 1870

San Jose Earthquakes

4th in MLS · 46 pts from 28

  • 11 OctDColorado Rapids 1943
  • 27 SepWPortland Timbers 1924
  • 19 SepDLos Angeles FC 2029
  • 13 SepWHouston Dynamo 1990
  • 10 SepWSan Diego 1919

Season outlook

From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Real Salt Lake32 /2838.40%0%7%25th
San Jose Earthquakes46 /2855.20%16%0%6th
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Major League Soccer

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

N. Caliskan
N. Caliskan

Real Salt Lake · +6.3 (Good) · Elo 1908

Beau Leroux
Beau Leroux

San Jose Earthquakes · +4.1 (Good) · Elo 2105

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Pablo Andrés Mastroeni

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Bruce Arena

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Real Salt Lake: balanced profile (how Pablo Andrés Mastroeni plays) · San Jose Earthquakes: balanced profile (how Bruce Arena plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.