Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 34
Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 00:00 UTC · America First Field, Sandy
Real Salt Lake host Los Angeles Galaxy on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Real Salt Lake 39%, draw 29%, Los Angeles Galaxy 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Real Salt Lake €1.2M, Los Angeles Galaxy €1.4M.
- Home advantage makes Real Salt Lake the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in discipline (MLS): Real Salt Lake rank #28 of 30, Los Angeles Galaxy #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Real Salt Lake goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Real Salt Lake 1822 · Los Angeles Galaxy 1898
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Real Salt Lake · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.6 (Elite) · Elo 1939
Los Angeles Galaxy · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Average) · Elo 1962
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Real Salt Lake
10th in MLS · 36 pts from 30
- 18 OctWSporting Kansas City MLS1809
- 15 OctDSan Jose Earthquakes MLS1810
- 10 OctLPhiladelphia Union MLS1838
- 27 SepWNew England Revolution MLS1803
- 24 SepLSeattle Sounders MLS1801
Los Angeles Galaxy
8th in MLS · 40 pts from 31
- 18 OctDSan Diego MLS1905
- 15 OctWPortland Timbers MLS1899
- 11 OctLSt. Louis City MLS1888
- 27 SepWColorado Rapids MLS1903
- 20 SepWMinnesota United FC MLS1899
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake | 36 /30 | 40.6 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 20th |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 40 /31 | 43.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Real Salt Lake: balanced profile (how P. Mastroeni plays) · Los Angeles Galaxy: possession-based (how G. Vanney plays)