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Primera División · Apertura - 21

Real Potosí 1–0 The Strongest

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte, Potosi

Real Potosí crestReal PotosíTeam 1315
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
The Strongest crestThe StrongestTeam 1542

Match story

Real Potosí · draw · The Strongest

Before kick-off: 25% · 27% · 48%

Live chances: Real Potosí 99%, draw 1%, The Strongest 0% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 27%, The Strongest 48%2' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 27%, The Strongest 48%3' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 27%, The Strongest 48%4' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 28%, The Strongest 47%5' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 28%, The Strongest 47%6' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 28%, The Strongest 47%7' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 28%, The Strongest 47%8' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 28%, The Strongest 47%9' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 28%, The Strongest 47%10' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 28%, The Strongest 47%11' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 29%, The Strongest 46%12' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 29%, The Strongest 46%13' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 29%, The Strongest 46%14' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 29%, The Strongest 46%15' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 29%, The Strongest 46%16' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 30%, The Strongest 46%17' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 30%, The Strongest 45%18' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 30%, The Strongest 45%19' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 30%, The Strongest 45%20' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 30%, The Strongest 45%21' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 30%, The Strongest 45%22' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 31%, The Strongest 44%23' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 31%, The Strongest 44%24' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 31%, The Strongest 44%25' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 31%, The Strongest 44%26' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 32%, The Strongest 44%27' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 32%, The Strongest 43%28' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 32%, The Strongest 43%29' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 32%, The Strongest 43%30' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 32%, The Strongest 43%31' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 33%, The Strongest 43%32' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 33%, The Strongest 42%33' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 25%, draw 33%, The Strongest 42%34' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 24%, draw 34%, The Strongest 42%35' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 24%, draw 34%, The Strongest 42%36' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 24%, draw 34%, The Strongest 41%37' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 24%, draw 34%, The Strongest 41%38' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 24%, draw 35%, The Strongest 41%39' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 24%, draw 35%, The Strongest 41%40' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 24%, draw 35%, The Strongest 40%41' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 24%, draw 36%, The Strongest 40%42' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 24%, draw 36%, The Strongest 40%43' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 24%, draw 36%, The Strongest 40%44' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 24%, draw 37%, The Strongest 39%45' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 24%, draw 37%, The Strongest 39%45+1' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 24%, draw 38%, The Strongest 39%HT · 0–0 · Real Potosí 23%, draw 39%, The Strongest 38%46' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 23%, draw 39%, The Strongest 38%47' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 23%, draw 39%, The Strongest 38%48' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 23%, draw 39%, The Strongest 37%49' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 23%, draw 40%, The Strongest 37%50' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 23%, draw 40%, The Strongest 37%51' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 23%, draw 41%, The Strongest 36%52' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 23%, draw 42%, The Strongest 36%53' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 22%, draw 42%, The Strongest 35%54' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 22%, draw 43%, The Strongest 35%55' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 22%, draw 43%, The Strongest 34%56' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 22%, draw 44%, The Strongest 34%57' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 22%, draw 45%, The Strongest 33%58' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 21%, draw 45%, The Strongest 33%59' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 21%, draw 46%, The Strongest 33%60' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 21%, draw 47%, The Strongest 32%61' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 21%, draw 48%, The Strongest 32%62' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 21%, draw 48%, The Strongest 31%63' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 20%, draw 49%, The Strongest 31%64' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 20%, draw 50%, The Strongest 30%65' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 20%, draw 51%, The Strongest 30%66' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 20%, draw 51%, The Strongest 29%67' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 19%, draw 52%, The Strongest 28%68' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 19%, draw 53%, The Strongest 28%69' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 19%, draw 54%, The Strongest 27%70' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 18%, draw 55%, The Strongest 27%71' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 18%, draw 56%, The Strongest 26%72' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 18%, draw 57%, The Strongest 26%73' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 17%, draw 58%, The Strongest 25%74' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 17%, draw 59%, The Strongest 24%75' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 16%, draw 60%, The Strongest 24%76' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 16%, draw 61%, The Strongest 23%77' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 16%, draw 62%, The Strongest 22%78' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 15%, draw 64%, The Strongest 21%79' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 15%, draw 65%, The Strongest 21%80' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 14%, draw 66%, The Strongest 20%81' · 0–0 · Real Potosí 13%, draw 68%, The Strongest 19%82' · 1–0 · Real Potosí 82%, draw 16%, The Strongest 2%84' · 1–0 · Real Potosí 84%, draw 15%, The Strongest 2%85' · 1–0 · Real Potosí 85%, draw 14%, The Strongest 1%86' · 1–0 · Real Potosí 86%, draw 13%, The Strongest 1%87' · 1–0 · Real Potosí 87%, draw 12%, The Strongest 1%88' · 1–0 · Real Potosí 88%, draw 11%, The Strongest 1%89' · 1–0 · Real Potosí 89%, draw 10%, The Strongest 1%90' · 1–0 · Real Potosí 90%, draw 9%, The Strongest 1%90+1' · 1–0 · Real Potosí 91%, draw 8%, The Strongest 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Real Potosí 93%, draw 7%, The Strongest 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Real Potosí 94%, draw 5%, The Strongest 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Real Potosí 96%, draw 4%, The Strongest 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Real Potosí 97%, draw 2%, The Strongest 0%90+6' · 1–0 · Real Potosí 99%, draw 1%, The Strongest 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave The Strongest 48% to win: Real Potosí won.

  1. 17'Real Potosí:Lucas Cristian Giménez 1381 +6*
  2. 45'Real Potosí:G. Añazgo 1212 +18* for Lucas Cristian Giménez 1381 +6*
  3. 48'The Strongest:Dilan Saavedra 1550 −13*
  4. 61'The Strongest:Jaime Arrascaita 1584 −22* (penalty missed)
  5. 62'Real Potosí:Hugo Rojas 1547 +29*
  6. 62'Real Potosí:Igor Soares 1126 +12* for Gerardo Maximiliano·Gomez 1257 +10*
  7. 74'Real Potosí:Luis Alí 1411 −7* for Jeferson Rivas Tirado 1405 +14*
  8. 82'Real Potosí:Hugo Rojas 1547 +29*
  9. 83'The Strongest:Luiz Henrique Pachu Lira 1444 −10* for Carlos Ventura 1208 −9*
  10. 88'Real Potosí:Stiven Plaza 1253 −7* for Hugo Rojas 1547 +29*
  11. 88'The Strongest:Martin Chiatti 1517 −15*
  12. 89'The Strongest:Widen Saucedo 1565 −9* for Adrian Jusino 1530 −17*
  13. 89'The Strongest:Roy Ribertt 1361 −8* for Dilan Saavedra 1550 −13*
  14. 90+4'Real Potosí:Stiven Plaza 1253 −7*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

5-4-1Formations4-2-3-1
GL. Banegas1618−21*
DA. Jusino1530−17*
DM. Chiatti1517−15*
DP. Pedraza1575−19*
DF. Quaglio1636−23*
MDilan Saavedra1550−13*
MK. Salvatierra1424−8*
MA. Estacio1599−20*
MJ. Arrascaita1584−22*
MC. Ventura1208−9*
FG. Sotomayor1572−16*
CAntônio Carlos Zago1560−21*
Before kick-off: 25% · 27% · 48%(Real Potosí · draw · The Strongest)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–0 had 6%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Real Potosí €158K, The Strongest €264K.
  • Real Potosí were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Real Potosí

5th in Primera División · 32 pts from 20

  • 15 SepWReal Oruro 1350
  • 12 SepWOriente Petrolero 1302
  • 5 SepDGuabirá 1341
  • 16 AugDAlways Ready 1344
  • 9 AugWBlooming 1333

The Strongest

3rd in Primera División · 42 pts from 20

  • 15 SepWABB 1567
  • 12 SepWReal Oruro 1551
  • 6 SepWReal Tomayapo 1520
  • 21 AugWUniversitario de Vinto 1507
  • 15 AugLGuabirá 1497

Season outlook

From the Primera División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Real Potosí32 /2034.60%52%0%4th
The Strongest42 /2044.81%100%0%3rd
Real Potosí
The Strongest

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primera División

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

M. Gómez
M. Gómez

Real Potosí · -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1247

A. Estacio
A. Estacio

The Strongest · +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1619

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Giancarlo Umana

Coach DNA: –

Antônio Carlos Zago

Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.