Primera División · Apertura - 24
Real Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Real Potosí host Independiente Petrolero on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Real Potosí 50%, draw 27%, Independiente Petrolero 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Real Potosí €160K, Independiente Petrolero €132K.
- Real Potosí are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Real Potosí goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Real Potosí 1411 · Independiente Petrolero 1310
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Real Potosí · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1427
Independiente Petrolero · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1461
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Real Potosí
4th in Primera División · 38 pts from 22
- 16 OctWABB Bolivia Primera Division1368
- 11 OctWThe Strongest Bolivia Primera Division1350
- 15 SepWReal Oruro Bolivia Primera Division1350
- 12 SepWOriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1302
- 5 SepDGuabirá Bolivia Primera Division1341
Independiente Petrolero
11th in Primera División · 26 pts from 22
- 17 OctDBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1273
- 12 OctLAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1261
- 18 SepLSan Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division1256
- 13 SepLUniversitario de Vinto Bolivia Primera Division1376
- 6 SepLBolívar Bolivia Primera Division1334
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Potosí | 38 /22 | 46.1 | 0% | 76% | 0% | 4th |
| Independiente Petrolero | 26 /22 | 33.5 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –