Primera División · Apertura - 26
Real Potosí vs Bolívar
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Real Potosí host Bolívar on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Real Potosí 17%, draw 24%, Bolívar 59%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Real Potosí €136K, Bolívar €532K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Primera División Apertura - 26: 366 points.
- Primera División: X. Arreaga is the highest-rated defender (1808).
- Bolívar's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.6 over 180 days.
- Bolívar have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Real Potosí goals first.
- 1–111%
- 0–210%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–37%
- 1–36%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Real Potosí 1368 · Bolívar 1734
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Real Potosí · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1467
Bolívar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1809
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Real Potosí
5th in Primera División · 40 pts from 25
- 8 NovDNacional Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1296
- 30 OctDIndependiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1343
- 24 OctLSan Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division1339
- 16 OctWABB Bolivia Primera Division1358
- 11 OctWThe Strongest Bolivia Primera Division1341
Bolívar
1st in Primera División · 60 pts from 25
- 8 NovWThe Strongest Bolivia Primera Division1740
- 1 NovWGuabirá Bolivia Primera Division1737
- 18 OctWNacional Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1726
- 11 OctWBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1713
- 18 SepWGualberto Villarroel SJ Bolivia Primera Division1715
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Potosí | 40 /25 | 43.8 | 0% | 38% | 0% | 5th |
| Bolívar | 60 /25 | 65.6 | 80% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile