Primera División · Apertura - 24
Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosí
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Real Oruro host Nacional Potosí on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Real Oruro 33%, draw 29%, Nacional Potosí 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Real Oruro €103K, Nacional Potosí €200K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Real Oruro goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Real Oruro 1294 · Nacional Potosí 1399
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Real Oruro · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1368
Nacional Potosí · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1436
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Real Oruro
10th in Primera División · 27 pts from 22
- 17 OctWAurora Bolivia Primera Division1236
- 10 OctWUniversitario de Vinto Bolivia Primera Division1217
- 15 SepLReal Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1258
- 12 SepLThe Strongest Bolivia Primera Division1275
- 4 SepWSan Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division1252
Nacional Potosí
9th in Primera División · 28 pts from 22
- 18 OctLBolívar Bolivia Primera Division1399
- 11 OctDAurora Bolivia Primera Division1401
- 16 SepLAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1432
- 12 SepWGualberto Villarroel SJ Bolivia Primera Division1396
- 7 SepWBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1358
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oruro | 27 /22 | 33.8 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 11th |
| Nacional Potosí | 28 /22 | 36.1 | 0% | 1% | <1% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Real Oruro: direct (how Marcelo Robledo plays) · Nacional Potosí: balanced profile (how Eduardo Andrés Villegas Camara plays)