Primera División · Apertura - 26
Real Oruro vs Guabirá
Mon 23 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Real Oruro host Guabirá on Mon 23 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Real Oruro 35%, draw 29%, Guabirá 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Real Oruro €107K, Guabirá €165K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Real Oruro goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–29%
- 1–27%
- 2–17%
- 1–34%
- 0–14%
- Other scores57%
Team Elo: Real Oruro 1293 · Guabirá 1376
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Real Oruro · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1382
Guabirá · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1394
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Real Oruro
10th in Primera División · 31 pts from 25
- 7 NovWGualberto Villarroel SJ Bolivia Primera Division1252
- 31 OctDNacional Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1246
- 25 OctLAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1241
- 17 OctWAurora Bolivia Primera Division1216
- 10 OctWUniversitario de Vinto Bolivia Primera Division1199
Guabirá
8th in Primera División · 33 pts from 25
- 7 NovWSan Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division1330
- 1 NovLBolívar Bolivia Primera Division1341
- 26 OctLNacional Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1384
- 18 OctDOriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1379
- 12 OctLGualberto Villarroel SJ Bolivia Primera Division1379
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oruro | 31 /25 | 35.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9th |
| Guabirá | 33 /25 | 37.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Real Oruro: balanced profile (how Marcelo Robledo plays) · Guabirá: balanced profile (how Leonardo Eguez plays)