Primera División · Apertura - 22
Real Oruro 1–0 Aurora
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Real OruroTeam 1283AuroraTeam 1457We gave Aurora 43% to win: Real Oruro won.
- F. Gatti –17'Real Oruro:F. Gatti –
- E. Rivera –23'Real Oruro:E. Rivera –
- Ademar Rivera Sifuentes –34'Real Oruro:Ademar Rivera Sifuentes –
- Ademar Rivera Sifuentes – assist Jhámil Rodrigo Ari Cruz –41'Real Oruro:Ademar Rivera Sifuentes – assist Jhámil Rodrigo Ari Cruz –
- 45'Ivan Huayhuata – for Alfredo·Amarilla –Aurora:Ivan Huayhuata – for Alfredo·Amarilla –
- 45'Rodrigo Ramallo – for Erwin Junior Sanchez –Aurora:Rodrigo Ramallo – for Erwin Junior Sanchez –
- 45'Henry Vaca – for Ronaldo Sánchez –Aurora:Henry Vaca – for Ronaldo Sánchez –
- Juan Montenegro – for Denis Pinto –54'Real Oruro:Juan Montenegro – for Denis Pinto –
- Angel Quiñonez – for F. Gatti –54'Real Oruro:Angel Quiñonez – for F. Gatti –
- Raul Ardaya – for Hernán Tifner –65'Real Oruro:Raul Ardaya – for Hernán Tifner –
- 70'adrian pacheco – for leandro barro –Aurora:adrian pacheco – for leandro barro –
- 70'David Alejandro Villca Coria – for Leonardo VivianiAurora:David Alejandro Villca Coria – for Leonardo Viviani
- 71'I. Vidaurre –Aurora:I. Vidaurre –
- Rivaldo Omar Méndez Maraz – for Jhámil Rodrigo Ari Cruz –72'Real Oruro:Rivaldo Omar Méndez Maraz – for Jhámil Rodrigo Ari Cruz –
- Juan Pablo Gómez Perez – for Ademar Rivera Sifuentes –72'Real Oruro:Juan Pablo Gómez Perez – for Ademar Rivera Sifuentes –
- Juan Pablo Gómez Perez –77'Real Oruro:Juan Pablo Gómez Perez –
- 83'David Alejandro Villca Coria –Aurora:David Alejandro Villca Coria –
- 90'Henry Vaca –Aurora:Henry Vaca –
Before kick-off (provisional): 28% · 28% · 43%(Real Oruro · draw · Aurora)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 7%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Real Oruro €113K, Aurora €186K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Real Oruro
11th in Primera División · 24 pts from 21
- 10 OctWUniversitario de Vinto Bolivia Primera Division1217
- 15 SepLReal Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1258
- 12 SepLThe Strongest Bolivia Primera Division1275
- 4 SepWSan Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division1252
- 23 AugLBolívar Bolivia Primera Division1214
Aurora
6th in Primera División · 31 pts from 21
- 11 OctDNacional Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1431
- 16 SepLGuabirá Bolivia Primera Division1469
- 11 SepWSan Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division1442
- 5 SepWGualberto Villarroel SJ Bolivia Primera Division1456
- 27 AugDAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1462
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oruro | 24 /21 | 31.8 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 11th |
| Aurora | 31 /21 | 42.5 | 0% | 16% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Real Oruro · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1357
Aurora · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Elite) · Elo 1529
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Real Oruro: direct (how Marcelo Robledo plays) · Aurora: balanced profile (how David Diaz plays)