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La Liga · Regular Season - 8

Real Betis 5–2 Osasuna

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville

Real Betis crestReal BetisTeam 2282
5–2
Full time
HT 2–0
Osasuna crestOsasunaTeam 1840

Match story

Real Betis · draw · Osasuna

Before kick-off: 78% · 14% · 7%

Live chances: Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0% at 90+8'2' · 0–0 · Real Betis 78%, draw 15%, Osasuna 7%3' · 0–0 · Real Betis 78%, draw 15%, Osasuna 7%4' · 0–0 · Real Betis 78%, draw 15%, Osasuna 7%5' · 0–0 · Real Betis 78%, draw 15%, Osasuna 7%6' · 0–0 · Real Betis 77%, draw 15%, Osasuna 7%7' · 0–0 · Real Betis 77%, draw 15%, Osasuna 8%8' · 0–0 · Real Betis 77%, draw 16%, Osasuna 8%9' · 0–0 · Real Betis 77%, draw 16%, Osasuna 8%10' · 0–0 · Real Betis 76%, draw 16%, Osasuna 8%11' · 1–0 · Real Betis 91%, draw 7%, Osasuna 2%12' · 1–0 · Real Betis 91%, draw 7%, Osasuna 2%13' · 1–0 · Real Betis 91%, draw 7%, Osasuna 2%14' · 1–0 · Real Betis 91%, draw 7%, Osasuna 2%15' · 1–0 · Real Betis 91%, draw 7%, Osasuna 2%16' · 1–0 · Real Betis 91%, draw 7%, Osasuna 2%17' · 1–0 · Real Betis 91%, draw 7%, Osasuna 2%18' · 1–0 · Real Betis 91%, draw 7%, Osasuna 2%19' · 1–0 · Real Betis 91%, draw 7%, Osasuna 2%20' · 1–0 · Real Betis 91%, draw 7%, Osasuna 2%21' · 1–0 · Real Betis 91%, draw 7%, Osasuna 2%22' · 1–0 · Real Betis 91%, draw 7%, Osasuna 2%23' · 1–0 · Real Betis 91%, draw 7%, Osasuna 2%24' · 1–0 · Real Betis 90%, draw 7%, Osasuna 2%25' · 1–0 · Real Betis 90%, draw 8%, Osasuna 2%26' · 1–0 · Real Betis 90%, draw 8%, Osasuna 2%27' · 1–0 · Real Betis 90%, draw 8%, Osasuna 2%28' · 1–0 · Real Betis 90%, draw 8%, Osasuna 2%29' · 1–0 · Real Betis 90%, draw 8%, Osasuna 2%30' · 1–0 · Real Betis 90%, draw 8%, Osasuna 2%31' · 1–0 · Real Betis 90%, draw 8%, Osasuna 2%32' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%33' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%34' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%35' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%36' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%37' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%38' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%39' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%40' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%41' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%42' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%43' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%44' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%45' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%45+1' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%45+2' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%45+3' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%45+4' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%HT · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%47' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%48' · 2–0 · Real Betis 98%, draw 2%, Osasuna 0%49' · 3–0 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%50' · 3–0 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%51' · 3–0 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%52' · 3–1 · Real Betis 98%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%53' · 3–1 · Real Betis 98%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%54' · 3–1 · Real Betis 98%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%55' · 3–1 · Real Betis 98%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%56' · 3–1 · Real Betis 98%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%57' · 3–2 · Real Betis 88%, draw 10%, Osasuna 2%58' · 3–2 · Real Betis 88%, draw 10%, Osasuna 2%59' · 3–2 · Real Betis 88%, draw 10%, Osasuna 2%60' · 3–2 · Real Betis 89%, draw 10%, Osasuna 2%61' · 3–2 · Real Betis 89%, draw 10%, Osasuna 2%62' · 3–2 · Real Betis 89%, draw 10%, Osasuna 1%63' · 3–2 · Real Betis 89%, draw 10%, Osasuna 1%64' · 3–2 · Real Betis 89%, draw 10%, Osasuna 1%65' · 3–2 · Real Betis 89%, draw 10%, Osasuna 1%66' · 3–2 · Real Betis 89%, draw 10%, Osasuna 1%67' · 3–2 · Real Betis 89%, draw 10%, Osasuna 1%68' · 4–2 · Real Betis 99%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%69' · 4–2 · Real Betis 99%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%70' · 4–2 · Real Betis 99%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%71' · 4–2 · Real Betis 99%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%72' · 4–2 · Real Betis 99%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%73' · 4–2 · Real Betis 99%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%74' · 4–2 · Real Betis 99%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%75' · 4–2 · Real Betis 99%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%76' · 4–2 · Real Betis 99%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%77' · 4–2 · Real Betis 99%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%78' · 4–2 · Real Betis 99%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%79' · 4–2 · Real Betis 99%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%80' · 4–2 · Real Betis 99%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%81' · 4–2 · Real Betis 99%, draw 1%, Osasuna 0%82' · 4–2 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%83' · 4–2 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%84' · 4–2 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%85' · 4–2 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%86' · 4–2 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%87' · 4–2 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%88' · 4–2 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%89' · 4–2 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%90' · 4–2 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%90+1' · 4–2 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%90+2' · 4–2 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%90+3' · 4–2 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%90+4' · 4–2 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%90+5' · 4–2 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%90+6' · 4–2 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%90+7' · 5–2 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%90+8' · 5–2 · Real Betis 100%, draw 0%, Osasuna 0%

Last reading, 90+8': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Real Betis 78% to win: they did.

  1. 10'Real Betis:Isco 2151 +6* (pen.)
  2. 31'Real Betis:Abde Ezzalzouli 2307 +9* assist Cucho Hernández 2277 +9*
  3. 41'Osasuna:Jon Moncayola 1989 −12*
  4. 45'Osasuna:Unai Santos 1665 −8*
  5. 45'Osasuna:Asier Osambela 1731 −8* for Unai Santos 1665 −8*
  6. 45+2'Real Betis:Cucho Hernández 2277 +9*
  7. 48'Real Betis:Ante Budimir 1904 −17* (own goal)
  8. 51'Osasuna:Ante Budimir 1904 −17* assist Rubén García 1934 −19*
  9. 56'Osasuna:Raul García 1888 −11* assist Alejandro Catena 2011 −16*
  10. 63'Osasuna:Valentin Rosier 1974 −11* for Íñigo Arguibide 1723 −8*
  11. 63'Osasuna:Mauro Echegoyen 1687 −8* for Jon Moncayola 1989 −12*
  12. 64'Osasuna:Lucas Torró 1933 −15*
  13. 67'Real Betis:Isco 2151 +6*
  14. 73'Real Betis:Antony Matheus dos Santos 2368 −7* for Rodrigo Riquelme 2247 −2*
  15. 74'Real Betis:Dani Ceballos 2296 −9* for Isco 2151 +6*
  16. 74'Osasuna:Jonathan Dubasin 1805 −8* for Rubén García 1934 −19*
  17. 79'Osasuna:Iker Muñoz Cameros 1977 −8* for Raul García 1888 −11*
  18. 81'Real Betis:Marc Roca 2279 +9*
  19. 81'Real Betis:Troy Parrott 2250 +1 for Cucho Hernández 2277 +9*
  20. 81'Real Betis:Nelson Deossa 2165 −7* for Pablo Fornals 2296 −4*
  21. 88'Osasuna:Valentin Rosier 1974 −11*
  22. 90+2'Real Betis:José Antonio Morante Antúnez 1868 −7* for Abde Ezzalzouli 2307 +9*
  23. 90+6'Real Betis:José Antonio Morante Antúnez 1868 −7* assist Héctor Bellerín 2180 −1*
  24. 90+6'Osasuna:Alejandro Catena 2011 −16*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-4-2
GAitor Fernández1662−11*
DÍñigo Arguibide1723−8*
DCatena2011−16*
DU. Santos1665−8*
DAbel Bretones1990−13*
MRubén García1934−19*
MMoncayola1989−12*
MLucas Torró1933−15*
MMoi Gómez1697−12*
FRaúl García1888−11*
FA. Budimir1904−17*
CLuis Miguel Ramis1897−11*
Before kick-off: 78% · 14% · 7%(Real Betis · draw · Osasuna)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 5–2 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Real Betis €13.0M, Osasuna €2.6M.
  • Osasuna were without 1 expected starter: Kike Barja (1834).
  • Draw chance was 17%, below the La Liga average of 25% this round.
  • Style contrast in chance creation (La Liga): Real Betis ranked #3 of 20, Osasuna #17.
  • All 11 of Real Betis' expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Real Betis

4th in La Liga · 16 pts from 7

  • 20 SepDDeportivo La Coruna 2287
  • 17 SepWGetafe 2213
  • 14 SepWVillarreal 2249
  • 8 SepWLille 2194
  • 4 SepWReal Madrid 2214

Osasuna

14th in La Liga · 8 pts from 7

  • 19 SepDRayo Vallecano 1865
  • 16 SepLAtletico Madrid 1836
  • 12 SepLEspanyol 1906
  • 6 SepLAlaves 1963
  • 31 AugWGetafe 1959

Season outlook

From the La Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Real Betis16 /771.0<1%77%0%4th
Osasuna8 /737.50%0%39%19th
Real Betis
Osasuna

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: La Liga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Ezzalzouli
A. Ezzalzouli

Real Betis · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2298

Moi Gómez
Moi Gómez

Osasuna · +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1709

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Manuel Luis Pellegrini Ripamonti

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Luis Miguel Ramis Monfort

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Real Betis: balanced profile (how Manuel Luis Pellegrini Ripamonti plays) · Osasuna: direct (how Luis Miguel Ramis Monfort plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.