La Liga · Regular Season - 11
Real Betis vs Malaga
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Estadio de La Cartuja, Sevilla
Real Betis host Malaga on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (La Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Real Betis 78%, draw 14%, Malaga 7%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Real Betis €14.2M, Malaga €2.2M.
- Draw chance 14%, below the La Liga average of 24% this round.
- All 11 of Real Betis' expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Real Betis goals first.
- 2–010%
- 3–010%
- 2–19%
- 3–18%
- 4–07%
- 1–17%
- Other scores49%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com3–1expected 1.2 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 5.4 pts
Team Elo: Real Betis 2270 · Malaga 1840
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Real Betis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Elite) · Elo 2335
Malaga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1911
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Real Betis
4th in La Liga · 19 pts from 9
- 17 OctLBarcelona La Liga2262
- 14 OctWFC Porto UEFA Champions League2250
- 11 OctWOsasuna La Liga2276
- 20 SepDDeportivo La Coruna La Liga2287
- 17 SepWGetafe La Liga2213
Malaga
20th in La Liga · 4 pts from 9
- 18 OctLReal Sociedad La Liga1869
- 9 OctDEspanyol La Liga1855
- 20 SepLGetafe La Liga1791
- 17 SepLVillarreal La Liga1865
- 13 SepDCelta Vigo La Liga1871
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 19 /9 | 71.5 | 0% | 75% | 0% | 4th |
| Malaga | 4 /9 | 29.0 | 0% | 0% | 83% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Real Betis: balanced profile (how Manuel Luis Pellegrini Ripamonti plays) · Malaga: dribble-heavy (how Juan Francisco Funes Arjona plays)