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La Liga · Regular Season - 9

Real Betis 2–5 Barcelona

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville

Real Betis crestReal BetisTeam 2279
2–5
Full time
HT 1–2
Barcelona crestBarcelonaTeam 2738

Match story

Real Betis · draw · Barcelona

Before kick-off: 15% · 19% · 65%

Live chances: Real Betis 0%, draw 0%, Barcelona 100% at 90+3'2' · 0–0 · Real Betis 15%, draw 20%, Barcelona 65%3' · 0–0 · Real Betis 16%, draw 20%, Barcelona 65%4' · 0–0 · Real Betis 16%, draw 20%, Barcelona 65%5' · 0–0 · Real Betis 16%, draw 20%, Barcelona 64%6' · 0–0 · Real Betis 16%, draw 20%, Barcelona 64%7' · 0–0 · Real Betis 16%, draw 20%, Barcelona 64%8' · 0–0 · Real Betis 16%, draw 20%, Barcelona 64%9' · 0–0 · Real Betis 16%, draw 20%, Barcelona 64%10' · 0–0 · Real Betis 16%, draw 21%, Barcelona 63%11' · 0–1 · Real Betis 8%, draw 14%, Barcelona 78%12' · 0–1 · Real Betis 8%, draw 14%, Barcelona 78%14' · 0–1 · Real Betis 8%, draw 14%, Barcelona 78%15' · 0–1 · Real Betis 8%, draw 14%, Barcelona 78%16' · 0–1 · Real Betis 8%, draw 14%, Barcelona 78%17' · 0–1 · Real Betis 8%, draw 14%, Barcelona 78%18' · 0–1 · Real Betis 8%, draw 14%, Barcelona 78%19' · 0–1 · Real Betis 8%, draw 14%, Barcelona 78%20' · 0–1 · Real Betis 8%, draw 14%, Barcelona 78%21' · 0–1 · Real Betis 8%, draw 14%, Barcelona 78%22' · 0–1 · Real Betis 8%, draw 14%, Barcelona 78%23' · 0–1 · Real Betis 8%, draw 15%, Barcelona 78%24' · 0–1 · Real Betis 8%, draw 15%, Barcelona 78%25' · 0–1 · Real Betis 8%, draw 15%, Barcelona 78%26' · 0–1 · Real Betis 7%, draw 15%, Barcelona 78%27' · 1–1 · Real Betis 17%, draw 24%, Barcelona 59%28' · 1–1 · Real Betis 17%, draw 24%, Barcelona 59%29' · 1–1 · Real Betis 17%, draw 24%, Barcelona 59%30' · 1–1 · Real Betis 17%, draw 24%, Barcelona 58%31' · 1–1 · Real Betis 17%, draw 24%, Barcelona 58%33' · 1–1 · Real Betis 17%, draw 25%, Barcelona 58%34' · 1–1 · Real Betis 18%, draw 25%, Barcelona 57%36' · 1–1 · Real Betis 18%, draw 26%, Barcelona 57%37' · 1–1 · Real Betis 18%, draw 26%, Barcelona 56%38' · 1–1 · Real Betis 18%, draw 26%, Barcelona 56%39' · 1–1 · Real Betis 18%, draw 27%, Barcelona 56%40' · 1–1 · Real Betis 18%, draw 27%, Barcelona 55%41' · 1–1 · Real Betis 18%, draw 27%, Barcelona 55%42' · 1–2 · Real Betis 7%, draw 16%, Barcelona 77%43' · 1–2 · Real Betis 7%, draw 16%, Barcelona 77%44' · 2–2 · Real Betis 18%, draw 28%, Barcelona 54%45' · 2–2 · Real Betis 18%, draw 28%, Barcelona 54%45+1' · 2–2 · Real Betis 18%, draw 29%, Barcelona 53%45+2' · 2–2 · Real Betis 18%, draw 29%, Barcelona 53%45+3' · 1–2 · Real Betis 6%, draw 16%, Barcelona 77%45+4' · 1–2 · Real Betis 6%, draw 16%, Barcelona 77%45+5' · 1–2 · Real Betis 6%, draw 16%, Barcelona 77%45+6' · 1–2 · Real Betis 6%, draw 16%, Barcelona 77%45+7' · 1–2 · Real Betis 6%, draw 16%, Barcelona 77%45+8' · 1–2 · Real Betis 6%, draw 16%, Barcelona 77%HT · 1–2 · Real Betis 6%, draw 16%, Barcelona 77%47' · 1–2 · Real Betis 6%, draw 16%, Barcelona 77%48' · 1–2 · Real Betis 6%, draw 16%, Barcelona 77%49' · 1–2 · Real Betis 6%, draw 16%, Barcelona 77%50' · 1–2 · Real Betis 6%, draw 16%, Barcelona 77%51' · 1–2 · Real Betis 6%, draw 17%, Barcelona 78%52' · 1–2 · Real Betis 6%, draw 17%, Barcelona 78%53' · 1–3 · Real Betis 1%, draw 4%, Barcelona 95%54' · 1–3 · Real Betis 1%, draw 4%, Barcelona 95%55' · 2–3 · Real Betis 6%, draw 17%, Barcelona 78%56' · 2–3 · Real Betis 2%, draw 10%, Barcelona 88%57' · 2–3 · Real Betis 2%, draw 10%, Barcelona 88%58' · 2–3 · Real Betis 2%, draw 10%, Barcelona 88%59' · 2–3 · Real Betis 2%, draw 10%, Barcelona 88%60' · 2–3 · Real Betis 2%, draw 10%, Barcelona 88%61' · 2–3 · Real Betis 2%, draw 10%, Barcelona 88%62' · 2–3 · Real Betis 2%, draw 10%, Barcelona 88%63' · 2–3 · Real Betis 2%, draw 10%, Barcelona 88%64' · 2–4 · Real Betis 0%, draw 1%, Barcelona 99%65' · 2–4 · Real Betis 0%, draw 1%, Barcelona 99%66' · 2–4 · Real Betis 0%, draw 1%, Barcelona 99%67' · 2–4 · Real Betis 0%, draw 1%, Barcelona 99%68' · 2–4 · Real Betis 0%, draw 1%, Barcelona 99%69' · 2–4 · Real Betis 0%, draw 1%, Barcelona 99%70' · 2–4 · Real Betis 0%, draw 1%, Barcelona 99%71' · 2–4 · Real Betis 0%, draw 1%, Barcelona 99%72' · 2–4 · Real Betis 0%, draw 1%, Barcelona 99%73' · 2–4 · Real Betis 0%, draw 1%, Barcelona 99%74' · 2–4 · Real Betis 0%, draw 1%, Barcelona 99%76' · 2–4 · Real Betis 0%, draw 1%, Barcelona 99%77' · 2–4 · Real Betis 0%, draw 1%, Barcelona 99%78' · 2–4 · Real Betis 0%, draw 1%, Barcelona 99%79' · 2–4 · Real Betis 0%, draw 1%, Barcelona 99%80' · 2–4 · Real Betis 0%, draw 1%, Barcelona 99%81' · 2–4 · Real Betis 0%, draw 1%, Barcelona 99%82' · 2–5 · Real Betis 0%, draw 0%, Barcelona 100%83' · 2–5 · Real Betis 0%, draw 0%, Barcelona 100%84' · 2–5 · Real Betis 0%, draw 0%, Barcelona 100%85' · 2–5 · Real Betis 0%, draw 0%, Barcelona 100%86' · 2–5 · Real Betis 0%, draw 0%, Barcelona 100%87' · 2–5 · Real Betis 0%, draw 0%, Barcelona 100%88' · 2–5 · Real Betis 0%, draw 0%, Barcelona 100%89' · 2–5 · Real Betis 0%, draw 0%, Barcelona 100%90' · 2–5 · Real Betis 0%, draw 0%, Barcelona 100%90+1' · 2–5 · Real Betis 0%, draw 0%, Barcelona 100%90+2' · 2–5 · Real Betis 0%, draw 0%, Barcelona 100%90+3' · 2–5 · Real Betis 0%, draw 0%, Barcelona 100%

Last reading, 90+3': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Barcelona 65% to win: they did.

  1. 10'Barcelona:Lamine Yamal 2851 +14 assist Jules Koundé 2682 +10
  2. 20'Barcelona:Fermín López 2700 +19
  3. 22'Real Betis:Héctor Bellerín 2174 −3
  4. 27'Real Betis:Diego Valentín Gómez 2181 −8* assist Pablo Fornals 2287 −7
  5. 41'Barcelona:Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante 2791 +20 assist Fermín López 2700 +19
  6. 45'Real Betis:Manuel Luis Pellegrini Ripamonti
  7. 45'Barcelona:Eric García 2710 +14 for Gerard Martín 2571 +7
  8. 45'Real Betis:Nelson Deossa 2179 0 for Dani Ceballos 2295 −3
  9. 51'Barcelona:Gabriel Jesus 2480 +39 assist Lamine Yamal 2851 +14
  10. 53'Real Betis:Abde Ezzalzouli 2335 −11 assist Giovani Lo Celso 2131 −10*
  11. 54'Real Betis:Facundo Bernal 2152 0
  12. 55'Barcelona:Lamine Yamal 2851 +14
  13. 61'Real Betis:Diego Llorente 2181 −5
  14. 62'Barcelona:Daniel Olmo Carvajal 2739 +7 for Fermín López 2700 +19
  15. 62'Barcelona:Anthony Gordon 2530 +12 for Karim Adeyemi 2447 +12
  16. 62'Barcelona:Eric García 2710 +14 assist Pau Cubarsí 2823 +20
  17. 64'Real Betis:Troy Parrott 2262 0 for Cucho Hernández 2288 −2
  18. 64'Real Betis:Rodrigo Riquelme 2246 0 for Giovani Lo Celso 2131 −10*
  19. 70'Barcelona:Raphael Dias Belloli 2729 −4* for Lamine Yamal 2851 +14
  20. 70'Real Betis:Ángel Ortiz 2016 0 for Héctor Bellerín 2174 −3
  21. 70'Real Betis:Álvaro Fidalgo 2042 −9* for Pablo Fornals 2287 −7
  22. 79'Barcelona:Pablo Martín Páez Gavira 2521 +2 for Gabriel Jesus 2480 +39
  23. 81'Barcelona:Daniel Olmo Carvajal 2739 +7 assist Pau Cubarsí 2823 +20

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GÁlvaro Vallés2332−10
DHéctor Bellerín2174−3
DDiego Llorente2181−5
DV. Gómez2181−8*
DFran García2451−9
MF. Bernal21520
MDani Ceballos2295−3
MPablo Fornals2287−7
MG. Lo Celso2131−10*
MA. Ezzalzouli2335−11
FC. Hernández2288−2
CM. Pellegrini2349−8
GJoan García2705+10
DJ. Koundé2682+10
DPau Cubarsí Paredes2823+20
DGerard Martín2571+7
DX. Espart2237+24
MRodri2791+20
MPedri2855+18
MLamine Yamal2851+14
MFermín2700+19
MK. Adeyemi2447+12
FGabriel Jesus2480+39
CH. Flick2713+19
Before kick-off: 15% · 19% · 65%(Real Betis · draw · Barcelona)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–2 (9%); the result 2–5 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Real Betis €11.4M, Barcelona €46.5M.
  • La Liga: Joan García was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2694).
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (La Liga): Real Betis ranked #3 of 20, Barcelona #18.
  • Barcelona's expected eleven was in form: average +4.6 over 180 days.
  • All 11 of Real Betis' expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Real Betis

3rd in La Liga · 19 pts from 8

  • 14 OctWFC Porto 2250
  • 11 OctWOsasuna 2276
  • 20 SepDDeportivo La Coruna 2287
  • 17 SepWGetafe 2213
  • 14 SepWVillarreal 2249

Barcelona

1st in La Liga · 24 pts from 8

  • 13 OctWGalatasaray 2677
  • 10 OctWGetafe 2598
  • 19 SepWSevilla 2614
  • 16 SepWRacing Santander 2611
  • 13 SepWLevante 2628

Season outlook

From the La Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Real Betis19 /873.0<1%82%0%4th
Barcelona24 /897.292%100%0%1st
Real Betis
Barcelona

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: La Liga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Ezzalzouli
A. Ezzalzouli

Real Betis · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2346

Rodri
Rodri

Barcelona · +9.0 (Elite) · Elo 2771

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Manuel Luis Pellegrini Ripamonti

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Hansi Flick

Coach DNA: possession-based · shot-heavy

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Real Betis: balanced profile (how Manuel Luis Pellegrini Ripamonti plays) · Barcelona: possession-based · shot-heavy (how Hansi Flick plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.