League One · Regular Season - 12
Reading vs Leyton Orient
Wed 21 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Madejski Stadium, Reading
Reading host Leyton Orient on Wed 21 Oct 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Reading 43%, draw 28%, Leyton Orient 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Reading €518K, Leyton Orient €608K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Reading goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Reading 1811 · Leyton Orient 1800
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Reading · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1864
Leyton Orient · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1819
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Reading
7th in League One · 15 pts from 10
- 17 OctLWigan England League One1815
- 13 OctLChelsea U21 England EFL Trophy1723
- 10 OctWMilton Keynes Dons England League One1784
- 3 OctDBradford England League One1804
- 26 SepDWycombe England League One1799
Leyton Orient
9th in League One · 14 pts from 10
- 17 OctWBlackpool England League One1821
- 10 OctDBradford England League One1801
- 3 OctLPlymouth England League One1780
- 19 SepWStevenage England League One1776
- 15 SepLArsenal U21 England EFL Trophy1784
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading | 15 /10 | 65.7 | 2% | 16% | 1% | 6th |
| Leyton Orient | 14 /10 | 62.7 | 1% | 9% | 2% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Reading: balanced profile (how Leam Nathan Richardson plays) · Leyton Orient: balanced profile (how Richard Paul Wellens plays)