League One · Regular Season - 16
Reading vs Bromley
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading
Reading host Bromley on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Reading 56%, draw 25%, Bromley 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Reading €519K, Bromley €333K.
- Bromley's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.1 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Reading goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Reading 1828 · Bromley 1670
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Reading · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1888
Bromley · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Average) · Elo 1636
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Reading
6th in League One · 22 pts from 14
- 10 NovDBristol Rovers England EFL Trophy1403
- 7 NovWPeterborough England FA Cup1780
- 4 NovLOxford United England League One1823
- 31 OctDPlymouth England League One1813
- 24 OctWBarnsley England League One1817
Bromley
24th in League One · 9 pts from 13
- 10 NovLMilton Keynes Dons England EFL Trophy1623
- 7 NovLRotherham England FA Cup1675
- 31 OctLWigan England League One1702
- 27 OctLMilton Keynes Dons England League One1698
- 24 OctDPeterborough England League One1708
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading | 22 /14 | 68.5 | 3% | 20% | <1% | 6th |
| Bromley | 9 /13 | 43.5 | 0% | 0% | 68% | 24th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Reading: balanced profile (how L. Richardson plays) · Bromley: direct (how A. Woodman plays)