League One · Regular Season - 13
Reading vs Barnsley
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading
Reading host Barnsley on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Reading 53%, draw 26%, Barnsley 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Reading €518K, Barnsley €426K.
- Barnsley's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.8 over 180 days.
- Only 2 of Barnsley's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Reading goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Reading 1811 · Barnsley 1689
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Reading · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1864
Barnsley · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1709
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Reading
7th in League One · 15 pts from 10
- 17 OctLWigan England League One1815
- 13 OctLChelsea U21 England EFL Trophy1723
- 10 OctWMilton Keynes Dons England League One1784
- 3 OctDBradford England League One1804
- 26 SepDWycombe England League One1799
Barnsley
21st in League One · 8 pts from 9
- 17 OctLCambridge United England League One1723
- 10 OctLStockport County England League One1717
- 6 OctLFleetwood Town England EFL Trophy1473
- 22 SepLLeeds United U21 England EFL Trophy1606
- 19 SepDLeicester England League One1707
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading | 15 /10 | 65.7 | 2% | 16% | 1% | 6th |
| Barnsley | 8 /9 | 48.6 | 0% | 0% | 46% | 24th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct · dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Reading: balanced profile (how Leam Nathan Richardson plays) · Barnsley: balanced profile (how Daniel Stendel plays)