Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
RB Leipzig host SV Elversberg on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: RB Leipzig 68%, draw 20%, SV Elversberg 12%.
- Average value of the expected XI: RB Leipzig €24.1M, SV Elversberg €2.5M.
- Draw chance 20%, below the Bundesliga average of 26% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. RB Leipzig goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 1–08%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores47%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.1 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 4.8 pts
Team Elo: RB Leipzig 2226 · SV Elversberg 1904
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
RB Leipzig · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 2260
SV Elversberg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1987
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
RB Leipzig
7th in Bundesliga · 9 pts from 6
- 17 OctLBayern München Bundesliga2268
- 13 OctWPSV Eindhoven UEFA Champions League2287
- 10 OctWEintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga2229
- 20 SepLBayer Leverkusen Bundesliga2250
- 13 SepWHamburger SV Bundesliga2137
SV Elversberg
6th in Bundesliga · 10 pts from 6
- 17 OctWFC Augsburg Bundesliga1910
- 10 OctLUnion Berlin Bundesliga1922
- 20 SepDFC Schalke 04 Bundesliga1907
- 13 SepLBayern München Bundesliga1931
- 5 SepWBorussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga1914
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 9 /6 | 57.8 | 1% | 53% | 0% | 4th |
| SV Elversberg | 10 /6 | 37.4 | 0% | <1% | 23% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
RB Leipzig: dribble-heavy (how Martín Gastón Demichelis plays) · SV Elversberg: balanced profile (how Vincent Wagner plays)