Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
RB Leipzig host FC Augsburg on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: RB Leipzig 58%, draw 24%, FC Augsburg 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: RB Leipzig €24.0M, FC Augsburg €7.6M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. RB Leipzig goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.3 pts
Team Elo: RB Leipzig 2228 · FC Augsburg 2014
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
RB Leipzig · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 2258
FC Augsburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2182
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
RB Leipzig
7th in Bundesliga · 9 pts from 6
- 21 OctLReal Madrid UEFA Champions League2321
- 17 OctLBayern München Bundesliga2268
- 13 OctWPSV Eindhoven UEFA Champions League2287
- 10 OctWEintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga2229
- 20 SepLBayer Leverkusen Bundesliga2250
FC Augsburg
10th in Bundesliga · 8 pts from 6
- 17 OctLSV Elversberg Bundesliga2040
- 10 OctDBayern München Bundesliga2039
- 19 SepLWerder Bremen Bundesliga2041
- 12 SepDBayer Leverkusen Bundesliga2044
- 6 SepWEintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga2022
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 9 /6 | 58.1 | 1% | 55% | <1% | 4th |
| FC Augsburg | 8 /6 | 42.3 | 0% | 1% | 7% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
RB Leipzig: dribble-heavy (how M. Demichelis plays) · FC Augsburg: balanced profile (how Manuel Baum plays)