Serie A · Regular Season - 36
RB Bragantino vs Vasco DA Gama
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 22:30 UTC · Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques, Braganza
RB Bragantino host Vasco DA Gama on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: RB Bragantino 40%, draw 29%, Vasco DA Gama 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: RB Bragantino €2.3M, Vasco DA Gama €4.5M.
- Home advantage makes RB Bragantino the favourite here: it adds 12 points to their win chance; Série A has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. RB Bragantino goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: RB Bragantino 1898 · Vasco DA Gama 1997
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
RB Bragantino · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1980
Vasco DA Gama · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2016
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
RB Bragantino
8th in Série A · 47 pts from 34
- 2 NovWSantos Brazil Serie A1875
- 28 OctWChapecoense-SC Brazil Serie A1864
- 24 OctLPalmeiras Brazil Serie A1888
- 18 OctDRemo Brazil Serie A1866
- 13 OctWCruzeiro Brazil Serie A1838
Vasco DA Gama
13th in Série A · 41 pts from 33
- 8 NovWPalmeiras Brazil Copa do Brasil2007
- 4 NovWAtletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A1984
- 1 NovLPalmeiras Brazil Copa do Brasil1998
- 29 OctLFlamengo Brazil Serie A1960
- 24 OctWCorinthians Brazil Serie A1999
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino | 47 /34 | 52.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9th |
| Vasco DA Gama | 41 /33 | 49.1 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
RB Bragantino: balanced profile (how Vágner Mancini plays) · Vasco DA Gama: balanced profile (how Pedro Emanuel plays)