Serie A · Regular Season - 34
RB Bragantino vs Santos
Mon 2 Nov 2026 · 23:00 UTC
RB Bragantino host Santos on Mon 2 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: RB Bragantino 42%, draw 29%, Santos 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: RB Bragantino €2.3M, Santos €2.8M.
- Home advantage makes RB Bragantino the favourite here: it adds 12 points to their win chance; Série A has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. RB Bragantino goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: RB Bragantino 1894 · Santos 1961
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
RB Bragantino · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.8 (Good) · Elo 1945
Santos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2022
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
RB Bragantino
10th in Série A · 41 pts from 31
- 18 OctDRemo Brazil Serie A1871
- 13 OctWCruzeiro Brazil Serie A1847
- 7 OctDMirassol Brazil Serie A1841
- 3 OctLAtletico-MG Brazil Serie A1894
- 20 SepLFlamengo Brazil Serie A1932
Santos
8th in Série A · 45 pts from 31
- 18 OctWFluminense Brazil Serie A1943
- 11 OctLAtletico-MG Brazil Serie A1972
- 8 OctDFlamengo Brazil Serie A1962
- 2 OctWSao Paulo Brazil Serie A1970
- 19 SepWRemo Brazil Serie A1926
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino | 41 /31 | 50.4 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 10th |
| Santos | 45 /31 | 55.6 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
RB Bragantino: balanced profile (how Vágner Carmo Mancini plays) · Santos: balanced profile (how Alexi Stival plays)