Serie A · Regular Season - 29
RB Bragantino 1–1 Mirassol
Wed 7 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC · Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques, Braganza
RB BragantinoTeam 1848MirassolTeam 1788We gave RB Bragantino 53% to win: it ended in a draw.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 53% · 26% · 21%(RB Bragantino · draw · Mirassol)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: RB Bragantino €1.6M, Mirassol €931K.
- All 11 of Mirassol's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
RB Bragantino
11th in Série A · 36 pts from 28
- 3 OctLAtletico-MG Brazil Serie A1894
- 20 SepLFlamengo Brazil Serie A1932
- 12 SepDBotafogo Brazil Serie A1912
- 5 SepLBahia Brazil Serie A1910
- 29 AugLSao Paulo Brazil Serie A1935
Mirassol
15th in Série A · 32 pts from 28
- 19 SepWBotafogo Brazil Serie A1753
- 13 SepDVitoria Brazil Serie A1738
- 6 SepWCoritiba Brazil Serie A1786
- 2 SepLFlamengo Brazil Serie A1812
- 30 AugDPalmeiras Brazil Serie A1797
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino | 36 /28 | 50.3 | 0% | <1% | <1% | 9th |
| Mirassol | 32 /28 | 43.2 | 0% | 0% | 21% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
RB Bragantino · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.6 (Good) · Elo 1934
Mirassol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1826
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
RB Bragantino: balanced profile (how Vágner Carmo Mancini plays) · Mirassol: balanced profile (how Rafael Silva Guanaes plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.