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Serie A · Regular Season - 30

RB Bragantino 4–2 Cruzeiro

Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques, Braganza

RB Bragantino crestRB BragantinoTeam 1860
4–2
Full time
HT 3–1
Cruzeiro crestCruzeiroTeam 2039

Match story

RB Bragantino · draw · Cruzeiro

Before kick-off: 34% · 29% · 37%

Live chances: RB Bragantino 100%, draw 0%, Cruzeiro 0% at 90+8'1' · 0–0 · RB Bragantino 34%, draw 29%, Cruzeiro 37%3' · 0–0 · RB Bragantino 33%, draw 29%, Cruzeiro 37%4' · 0–0 · RB Bragantino 33%, draw 29%, Cruzeiro 37%6' · 0–0 · RB Bragantino 33%, draw 30%, Cruzeiro 37%7' · 0–0 · RB Bragantino 33%, draw 30%, Cruzeiro 37%9' · 0–0 · RB Bragantino 33%, draw 30%, Cruzeiro 37%10' · 0–0 · RB Bragantino 33%, draw 30%, Cruzeiro 37%11' · 0–0 · RB Bragantino 33%, draw 30%, Cruzeiro 37%12' · 0–0 · RB Bragantino 33%, draw 31%, Cruzeiro 36%13' · 0–0 · RB Bragantino 33%, draw 31%, Cruzeiro 36%15' · 1–0 · RB Bragantino 63%, draw 23%, Cruzeiro 15%16' · 1–0 · RB Bragantino 63%, draw 23%, Cruzeiro 14%17' · 1–0 · RB Bragantino 63%, draw 23%, Cruzeiro 14%18' · 1–0 · RB Bragantino 63%, draw 23%, Cruzeiro 14%20' · 1–0 · RB Bragantino 63%, draw 23%, Cruzeiro 14%21' · 1–0 · RB Bragantino 63%, draw 23%, Cruzeiro 14%21' · 2–0 · RB Bragantino 88%, draw 9%, Cruzeiro 3%22' · 2–0 · RB Bragantino 88%, draw 9%, Cruzeiro 3%24' · 2–0 · RB Bragantino 88%, draw 9%, Cruzeiro 3%25' · 2–0 · RB Bragantino 89%, draw 8%, Cruzeiro 3%26' · 2–0 · RB Bragantino 89%, draw 8%, Cruzeiro 3%27' · 2–0 · RB Bragantino 89%, draw 8%, Cruzeiro 3%28' · 2–0 · RB Bragantino 89%, draw 8%, Cruzeiro 3%29' · 2–0 · RB Bragantino 89%, draw 8%, Cruzeiro 3%30' · 2–0 · RB Bragantino 89%, draw 8%, Cruzeiro 3%31' · 3–0 · RB Bragantino 97%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 1%32' · 3–0 · RB Bragantino 97%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%33' · 3–0 · RB Bragantino 97%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%34' · 3–0 · RB Bragantino 97%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%35' · 3–0 · RB Bragantino 98%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%36' · 3–0 · RB Bragantino 98%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%37' · 3–0 · RB Bragantino 98%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%38' · 3–0 · RB Bragantino 98%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%39' · 3–0 · RB Bragantino 98%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%40' · 3–0 · RB Bragantino 98%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%41' · 3–0 · RB Bragantino 98%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%42' · 3–0 · RB Bragantino 98%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%43' · 3–0 · RB Bragantino 98%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%44' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 91%, draw 7%, Cruzeiro 2%45' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 91%, draw 7%, Cruzeiro 2%45+1' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 92%, draw 7%, Cruzeiro 2%45+2' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 92%, draw 7%, Cruzeiro 2%45+3' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 92%, draw 6%, Cruzeiro 2%45+4' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 92%, draw 6%, Cruzeiro 2%45+5' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 92%, draw 6%, Cruzeiro 2%HT · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 92%, draw 6%, Cruzeiro 2%47' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 92%, draw 6%, Cruzeiro 1%48' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 92%, draw 6%, Cruzeiro 1%49' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 93%, draw 6%, Cruzeiro 1%50' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 93%, draw 6%, Cruzeiro 1%51' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 93%, draw 6%, Cruzeiro 1%52' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 93%, draw 6%, Cruzeiro 1%53' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 93%, draw 6%, Cruzeiro 1%54' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 94%, draw 5%, Cruzeiro 1%55' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 94%, draw 5%, Cruzeiro 1%56' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 94%, draw 5%, Cruzeiro 1%57' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 94%, draw 5%, Cruzeiro 1%58' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 94%, draw 5%, Cruzeiro 1%59' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 95%, draw 5%, Cruzeiro 1%60' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 95%, draw 4%, Cruzeiro 1%61' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 95%, draw 4%, Cruzeiro 1%62' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 95%, draw 4%, Cruzeiro 1%63' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 95%, draw 4%, Cruzeiro 1%64' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 96%, draw 4%, Cruzeiro 1%65' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 96%, draw 4%, Cruzeiro 1%66' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 96%, draw 4%, Cruzeiro 0%67' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 96%, draw 3%, Cruzeiro 0%68' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 96%, draw 3%, Cruzeiro 0%69' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 96%, draw 3%, Cruzeiro 0%70' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 97%, draw 3%, Cruzeiro 0%71' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 97%, draw 3%, Cruzeiro 0%72' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 97%, draw 3%, Cruzeiro 0%73' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 97%, draw 3%, Cruzeiro 0%74' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 97%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%75' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 98%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%76' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 98%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%77' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 98%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%78' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 98%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%79' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 98%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%80' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 98%, draw 2%, Cruzeiro 0%81' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 98%, draw 1%, Cruzeiro 0%82' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 99%, draw 1%, Cruzeiro 0%83' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 99%, draw 1%, Cruzeiro 0%84' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 99%, draw 1%, Cruzeiro 0%85' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 99%, draw 1%, Cruzeiro 0%86' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 99%, draw 1%, Cruzeiro 0%87' · 4–1 · RB Bragantino 100%, draw 0%, Cruzeiro 0%88' · 3–1 · RB Bragantino 99%, draw 1%, Cruzeiro 0%89' · 3–2 · RB Bragantino 90%, draw 9%, Cruzeiro 1%90' · 3–2 · RB Bragantino 91%, draw 8%, Cruzeiro 0%90+1' · 4–2 · RB Bragantino 100%, draw 0%, Cruzeiro 0%90+2' · 4–2 · RB Bragantino 100%, draw 0%, Cruzeiro 0%90+3' · 4–2 · RB Bragantino 100%, draw 0%, Cruzeiro 0%90+4' · 4–2 · RB Bragantino 100%, draw 0%, Cruzeiro 0%90+5' · 4–2 · RB Bragantino 100%, draw 0%, Cruzeiro 0%90+6' · 4–2 · RB Bragantino 100%, draw 0%, Cruzeiro 0%90+7' · 4–2 · RB Bragantino 100%, draw 0%, Cruzeiro 0%90+8' · 4–2 · RB Bragantino 100%, draw 0%, Cruzeiro 0%

Last reading, 90+8': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Cruzeiro 37% to win: RB Bragantino won.

  1. 10'RB Bragantino:Guzman Rodriguez 1914 +19
  2. 13'RB Bragantino:Lucas Henrique Barbosa 1937 +20 assist Eric Ramires 1943 +34
  3. 18'Cruzeiro:William 2006 −5
  4. 20'RB Bragantino:Kaio Jorge 2123 −14 (own goal)
  5. 28'RB Bragantino:Ryan Augusto 1708 +40
  6. 30'RB Bragantino:Eric Ramires 1943 +34
  7. 43'Cruzeiro:Zé Lucas 1826 0 assist Kaio Jorge 2123 −14
  8. 45'Cruzeiro:Fabrício Bruno 2030 −13* for William 2006 −5
  9. 45'Cruzeiro:Matías Viña 2051 −5 for Gabriel Rojas 1982 −3
  10. 58'RB Bragantino:Eduardo Santos 1784 +10 for Gustavo Marques Alves dos Santos 1945 +10
  11. 63'Cruzeiro:Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira 1877 −8* for João Marcelo 2043 −6
  12. 63'Cruzeiro:Matheus Henrique 1970 −3 for Zé Lucas 1826 0
  13. 65'RB Bragantino:Matheus Fernandes 1838 −2* for Wallace Yan 1791 +22
  14. 66'RB Bragantino:Isidro Pitta 1938 +4 for Eduardo Sasha 1736 +20
  15. 66'RB Bragantino:Gabriel Girotto 1800 −7* for Eric Ramires 1943 +34
  16. 77'Cruzeiro:Felipe Morais 1756 0
  17. 78'Cruzeiro:Bruno Rodrigues 1913 −2 for Felipe Morais 1756 0
  18. 81'RB Bragantino:Jose Herrera 1915 +5 for Lucas Henrique Barbosa 1937 +20
  19. 89'Cruzeiro:Matheus Henrique 1970 −3
  20. 90+1'RB Bragantino:Jose Herrera 1915 +5 assist Isidro Pitta 1938 +4

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GOtávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa1985−9
DWilliam2006−5
DJoão Marcelo2043−6
DJonathan2069−10
DG. Rojas1982−3
MZé Lucas18260
MGerson2085−36
MFelipe Morais17560
MMatheus Pereira2076−13
MK. Arroyo2022−6
FKaio Jorge2123−14
CArtur Jorge2077−20
Before kick-off: 34% · 29% · 37%(RB Bragantino · draw · Cruzeiro)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 4–2 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: RB Bragantino €2.3M, Cruzeiro €4.6M.
  • Cruzeiro were without 1 expected starter: L. Romero (2053).
  • Home advantage made RB Bragantino the favourite: it added 12 points to their win chance; Série A has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
  • Cruzeiro's expected eleven was in form: average +3.0 over 180 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

RB Bragantino

11th in Série A · 37 pts from 29

  • 7 OctDMirassol 1841
  • 3 OctLAtletico-MG 1894
  • 20 SepLFlamengo 1932
  • 12 SepDBotafogo 1913
  • 5 SepLBahia 1910

Cruzeiro

5th in Série A · 48 pts from 29

  • 8 OctWSao Paulo 2013
  • 20 SepWVitoria 1980
  • 13 SepLSantos 2023
  • 6 SepWAtletico Paranaense 2016
  • 30 AugLVasco Da Gama 1891

Season outlook

From the Serie A simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
RB Bragantino37 /2949.00%<1%<1%10th
Cruzeiro48 /2961.60%45%0%4th
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie A

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Gustavo Marques
Gustavo Marques

RB Bragantino · +5.7 (Good) · Elo 1935

Jonathan
Jonathan

Cruzeiro · +8.5 (Elite) · Elo 2079

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Vágner Carmo Mancini

Coach DNA: direct

Artur Jorge Torres Gomes Araújo Amorim

Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

RB Bragantino: balanced profile (how Vágner Carmo Mancini plays) · Cruzeiro: balanced profile (how Artur Jorge Torres Gomes Araújo Amorim plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.