Serie A · Regular Season - 33
RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense-sc
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC · Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques, Braganza
RB Bragantino host Chapecoense-sc on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: RB Bragantino 65%, draw 21%, Chapecoense-sc 14%.
- Average value of the expected XI: RB Bragantino €2.3M, Chapecoense-sc €561K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Série A): RB Bragantino rank #2 of 20, Chapecoense-sc #19.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. RB Bragantino goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: RB Bragantino 1894 · Chapecoense-sc 1681
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
RB Bragantino · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.8 (Good) · Elo 1945
Chapecoense-sc · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1581
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
RB Bragantino
10th in Série A · 41 pts from 31
- 18 OctDRemo Brazil Serie A1871
- 13 OctWCruzeiro Brazil Serie A1847
- 7 OctDMirassol Brazil Serie A1841
- 3 OctLAtletico-MG Brazil Serie A1894
- 20 SepLFlamengo Brazil Serie A1932
Chapecoense-sc
20th in Série A · 18 pts from 30
- 17 OctLBotafogo Brazil Serie A1695
- 7 OctLVitoria Brazil Serie A1711
- 19 SepDAtletico-MG Brazil Serie A1703
- 6 SepWCorinthians Brazil Serie A1663
- 30 AugLGremio Brazil Serie A1633
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino | 41 /31 | 50.4 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 10th |
| Chapecoense-sc | 18 /30 | 23.8 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
RB Bragantino: balanced profile (how Vágner Carmo Mancini plays) · Chapecoense-sc: balanced profile (how Rafael dos Santos Lacerda plays)