Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 5
Rayong FC 1–1 Uthai Thani
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Rayong Province Stadium, Rayong
Rayong FCTeam 1286Uthai ThaniTeam 1428- João Felipe Proscinski Giaccomoni 13'
- Antonio Abreu Lara 56' (og)
We gave Uthai Thani 41% to win: it ended in a draw.
- João Felipe Proscinski Giaccomoni13'Rayong FC:João Felipe Proscinski Giaccomoni
- 41'Jeong Tae-Wook –Uthai Thani:Jeong Tae-Wook –
- 56'Antonio Abreu Lara (own goal)Uthai Thani:Antonio Abreu Lara (own goal)
- 58'Wattana Playnum –Uthai Thani:Wattana Playnum –
- Mayron Marques Barboza da Rocha –63'Rayong FC:Mayron Marques Barboza da Rocha –
- Yeo Hong-Gyu – for Renan Gorne64'Rayong FC:Yeo Hong-Gyu – for Renan Gorne
- 64'Possawee Muanmart for Wattana Playnum –Uthai Thani:Possawee Muanmart for Wattana Playnum –
- 64'William Gabriel Weidersjö for Trent Buhagiar –Uthai Thani:William Gabriel Weidersjö for Trent Buhagiar –
- 76'Charalampos Charalampous –Uthai Thani:Charalampos Charalampous –
- Matee Sarakum – for Supawit Romphopak –81'Rayong FC:Matee Sarakum – for Supawit Romphopak –
- Thanaset Sujarit for Natcha Promsomboon –81'Rayong FC:Thanaset Sujarit for Natcha Promsomboon –
- Patipanchai Phothep – for Cristian·Magerusan –81'Rayong FC:Patipanchai Phothep – for Cristian·Magerusan –
- 84'Itsuki Enomoto – for Willian Lira SousaUthai Thani:Itsuki Enomoto – for Willian Lira Sousa
- 88'Siroch Chatthong – for Kelvin –Uthai Thani:Siroch Chatthong – for Kelvin –
- 88'Santipap Yaemsaen – for Benjamin Davis –Uthai Thani:Santipap Yaemsaen – for Benjamin Davis –
Before kick-off (provisional): 31% · 29% · 41%(Rayong FC · draw · Uthai Thani)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rayong FC €175K, Uthai Thani €211K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Thai League 1): Rayong FC ranked #14 of 15, Uthai Thani #1.
- K. Nontharat, W. Phosririt, Stefan Cebara and A. Amornlertsak (Rayong FC) had not played for over 90 days.
- C. Wangthaphan, A. Doloh, W. Weidersjoe, Marcelo Djaló, Bruno Baio, M. Angha and C. Gomis (Uthai Thani) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rayong FC
7th in Thai League 1 · 7 pts from 4
- 10 OctLBuriram United Thailand Thai League 11323
- 3 MayLRatchaburi Thailand Thai League 11324
- 5 AprLChonburi FC Thailand Thai League 11375
- 14 MarDBG Pathum United Thailand Thai League 11405
- 7 MarLSukhothai FC Thailand Thai League 11465
Uthai Thani
2nd in Thai League 1 · 9 pts from 4
- 10 OctWRasi Salai United Thailand Thai League 11387
- 3 MayLPrachuap Thailand Thai League 11399
- 5 AprDNakhon Ratchasima FC Thailand Thai League 11421
- 14 MarLMuangthong United Thailand Thai League 11405
- 28 FebLRatchaburi Thailand Thai League 11457
Season outlook
From the Thai League 1 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayong FC | 7 /4 | 37.8 | 0% | 4% | 14% | 10th |
| Uthai Thani | 9 /4 | 46.5 | 2% | 34% | 1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rayong FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Elite) · Elo 1547
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct · aggressive
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rayong FC: direct (how Aktaporn Chalitaporn plays) · Uthai Thani: dribble-heavy (how Alexandre Torreira da Gama Lima Casado plays)