Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 7
Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Rayong Provincial Stadium, Rayong
Rayong FC host Lamphun Warrior on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Thai League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rayong FC 37%, draw 29%, Lamphun Warrior 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rayong FC €171K, Lamphun Warrior €169K.
- Home advantage makes Rayong FC the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- K. Nontharat, W. Phosririt, Stefan Cebara and A. Amornlertsak (Rayong FC) have not played for over 90 days.
- Ralph and A. Yodsangwal (Lamphun Warrior) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rayong FC goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Rayong FC 1281 · Lamphun Warrior 1341
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Rayong FC from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026); Lamphun Warrior from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rayong FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Elite) · Elo 1547
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rayong FC
7th in Thai League 1 · 8 pts from 5
- 17 OctDUthai Thani Thailand Thai League 11306
- 10 OctLBuriram United Thailand Thai League 11323
- 3 MayLRatchaburi Thailand Thai League 11324
- 5 AprLChonburi FC Thailand Thai League 11375
- 14 MarDBG Pathum United Thailand Thai League 11405
Lamphun Warrior
13th in Thai League 1 · 4 pts from 5
- 16 OctWAyutthaya FC Thailand Thai League 11338
- 11 OctLBangkok United Thailand Thai League 11321
- 3 MayDChiangrai United Thailand Thai League 11351
- 5 AprWAyutthaya FC Thailand Thai League 11281
- 14 MarDPrachuap Thailand Thai League 11292
Season outlook
From the Thai League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayong FC | 8 /5 | 37.3 | 0% | 3% | 15% | 10th |
| Lamphun Warrior | 4 /5 | 36.5 | 0% | 3% | 17% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rayong FC: direct (how Aktaporn Chalitaporn plays) · Lamphun Warrior: direct (how Dennis Amato plays)