Primera División · Clausura - 13
Rayo Zuliano 1–2 Caracas FC
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UTC
Rayo ZulianoTeam 1112
Caracas FCTeam 1274Match story
Rayo Zuliano · draw · Caracas FCBefore kick-off: 29% · 30% · 42%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 2% · 98%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Junior Colina 88'
We gave Caracas FC 42% to win: they did.
- José Luis Ochoa Machado 1190 −12*13'
Rayo Zuliano:José Luis Ochoa Machado 1190 −12* - 33'Jeriel De Santis 1427 +5*
Caracas FC:Jeriel De Santis 1427 +5* - 38'Alejandro Villarreal 1249 +19* assist Irving Gudino 1318 +13*
Caracas FC:Alejandro Villarreal 1249 +19* assist Irving Gudino 1318 +13* - 57'Christian Adan·Larotonda Adan 1497 for Miguel Vegas 1230 +21*
Caracas FC:Christian Adan·Larotonda Adan 1497 for Miguel Vegas 1230 +21* - 71'Angel Figueroa 1247 for Wilfred Correa 1406 +7*
Caracas FC:Angel Figueroa 1247 for Wilfred Correa 1406 +7* - 71'Michael Covea 1426 for Robert Hernandez 1274 +12*
Caracas FC:Michael Covea 1426 for Robert Hernandez 1274 +12* - 71'Sebastian Gonzalez 1196 for Alejandro Villarreal 1249 +19*
Caracas FC:Sebastian Gonzalez 1196 for Alejandro Villarreal 1249 +19* - 72'Michael Covea 1426
Caracas FC:Michael Covea 1426 - 74'Mauricio Marquez 1026 for Jeriel De Santis 1427 +5*
Caracas FC:Mauricio Marquez 1026 for Jeriel De Santis 1427 +5* - Kelvin Pacheco for Joiser Arias 1202 −13*77'
Rayo Zuliano:Kelvin Pacheco for Joiser Arias 1202 −13* - Efrain Gomez for Jorge Luis Gomez 1249 −18*84'
Rayo Zuliano:Efrain Gomez for Jorge Luis Gomez 1249 −18* - Junior Colina 847 for Cristian Romero 1165 −9*84'
Rayo Zuliano:Junior Colina 847 for Cristian Romero 1165 −9* - Junior Colina 84785'
Rayo Zuliano:Junior Colina 847 - Jean Sanchez 993 for angel jimenez 1069 −8*86'
Rayo Zuliano:Jean Sanchez 993 for angel jimenez 1069 −8* - luis urbina 1017 for Jhan Velez 1174 −10*86'
Rayo Zuliano:luis urbina 1017 for Jhan Velez 1174 −10* - Junior Colina 847 assist Kelvin Pacheco88'
Rayo Zuliano:Junior Colina 847 assist Kelvin Pacheco - 90'Michael Covea 1426
Caracas FC:Michael Covea 1426
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 29% · 30% · 42%(Rayo Zuliano · draw · Caracas FC)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Rayo Zuliano €161K, Caracas FC €198K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rayo Zuliano
12th in Primera División · 25 pts from 25
- 16 SepWTrujillanos FC Venezuela Primera Division1116
- 13 SepDPortuguesa FC Venezuela Primera Division1114
- 6 SepLDeportivo Tachira FC Venezuela Primera Division1151
- 3 SepWCarabobo FC Venezuela Primera Division1088
- 25 AprLCaracas FC Venezuela Primera Division1131
Caracas FC
9th in Primera División · 29 pts from 25
- 16 SepLMetropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division1359
- 13 SepLMonagas SC Venezuela Primera Division1360
- 6 SepWTrujillanos FC Venezuela Primera Division1304
- 2 SepDPortuguesa FC Venezuela Primera Division1326
- 31 JulLSanta Fe Copa Sudamericana1402
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Zuliano | 25 /25 | 26.1 | 0% | 0% | 45% | 11th |
| Caracas FC | 29 /25 | 30.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Caracas FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1374
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.